NBAJun 5, 2026, 5:40 PM

New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs

Published by Slam Wager

Published Pick
Over 214.5 (-114)
total · evidence score 74/100 · 3u official
Result
Lost

Published pick reasoning

Fallback auto-pick from deterministic market signals only. Best price: Over 214.5 -114 @ FanDuel | Under 214.5 -106 @ FanDuel | Over 215 -112 @ BetRivers | Under 215 -112 @ BetRivers. EV: Over 216: -4.5% (best -110 @ Fanatics) | Under 216: -4.5% (best -110 @ Fanatics). Sharp/public: SHARP_VS_PUBLIC_TOTAL: Pinnacle 216 vs public median 215.5 on Over (Δ+0.5pt — sharps disagree with public longer) || SHARP_VS_PUBLIC_TOTAL: Pinnacle 216 vs public median 215.5 on Under (Δ+0.5pt — sharps disagree with public longer). Sharp signals: STEAM: 6 books range 1.5pts (median 215.5) || BOOK_DISAGREEMENT_HIGH: line spread 1.5pts across US books. [SIGNALS FIRED] 3 pattern(s), 3 cluster(s) → deterministic confidence 74 (PRO, expected ROI 2.1%): • STEAM_WITH — 56.2% WR (n≈520): Market moved with our side — sharp steam signal • SHARP_VS_PUBLIC_LINE_DISAGREE — 57.7% WR (n≈790): Sharp books disagree with the public consensus on the line • PUBLIC_PRIMETIME_FADE — 49.2% WR (n≈1200): Primetime public bias creates a modest contrarian edge

Result notes

Final: New York Knicks 105 @ San Antonio Spurs 104 · total 209 vs 214.5

Closing line: 217

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