Novak Djokovic @ Jannik Sinner

Why the AI made this pick

The under 38.5 is projected to have a -5.7% EV against the best price available. Although the DATA_CONFIDENCE is low at 64/100, the Pinnacle fair line suggests an Under 38.5 at -102. Under 38.5 has the best market price at -115 with Bovada. Sinner has strong recent form with a 9-1 L10 record (sets +16). The confidence is capped at 60 due to the low data confidence and the lack of strong supporting signals. [SIGNALS USED] • LINE_DISPERSION_SOFT — TENNIS / TENNIS/BACKFILL_3Y~full-weight(exempt) / n=9 / 44.4% WR / unproven • DATA_CONFIDENCE_LOW — TENNIS / TENNIS/L30 / n=34 / 62.5% WR / unproven

Result notes

Final: Novak Djokovic 12 @ Jannik Sinner 18 · total 30 vs 38.5

Related picks

• TENNIS

  Novak Djokovic @ Jannik Sinner

  Jannik Sinner -5.5 -5.5 · 7/10/2026
  win
• TENNIS

  Novak Djokovic @ Felix Auger-Aliassime

  Felix Auger-Aliassime +2.5 2.5 · 7/7/2026
  win
• TENNIS

  Shintaro Mochizuki @ Jannik Sinner

  Under 28 28 · 7/5/2026
  loss
• TENNIS

  Shintaro Mochizuki @ Jannik Sinner

  Shintaro Mochizuki +9.5 9.5 · 7/5/2026
  win
• TENNIS

  Novak Djokovic @ Roman Safiullin

  Novak Djokovic -5.5 -5.5 · 7/5/2026
  loss