UFCAug 15, 2026, 6:00 PM

Islam Makhachev @ Ian Machado Garry

Published by Slam Wager

Published Pick
Ian Machado Garry (+255)
moneyline · evidence score 79/100 · 1u official
Result
Lost

Published pick reasoning

UFC production champion ufc-joint-fight-sim-v1.0.0. One frozen 5-round joint simulation priced winner, duration, method and winning-round outcomes together against an exact same-book Pinnacle no-vig pair. Market anchor 79.9%; simulation 20.1%; conservative EV 22.53%. Quote ufcquote1:4194a268651f7eeb7f7905962b676305a3b0f6f6dac2697c850964b1432ef47f captured 2026-07-31T16:05:20.520Z; the member wager receipt is immutable.

Result notes

UFC official result revision 1 · official_winner · receipt 902fbe1c-3c84-4dde-b246-3ce14447c398

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Historical audit coverage

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