Norway @ Ivory Coast

Why the AI made this pick

The line has moved towards the under, with the price on the over dropping from -120 to -112 since open. This line velocity is a positive indicator for the under with a 62.5% historical win rate for this signal in World Cup matches. The close Elo ratings between the two teams (1820 vs 1775) also point towards a tighter, more competitive, and likely lower-scoring game. Sized at 1u — a single-signal lean with confidence just over the threshold. [SIGNALS FIRED] 2 pattern(s), 2 cluster(s) → deterministic confidence 60 (BASIC, expected ROI -2.1%): • LINE_VELOCITY_WITH — WR: insufficient data: Line drifted consistently in our favor without a spike — slow smart-money accumulation • DATA_CONFIDENCE_LOW — 50.8% WR (live, n=64): Missing data lowers certainty; keep confidence capped [RISK] YELLOW: Mean live WR 50.8% ≤ implied 51.9% — thin edge vs price

Result notes

Final: Norway 2 @ Ivory Coast 1 · total 3 vs 2.5

Related picks

• WORLDCUP

  Norway @ Ivory Coast

  Norway · 6/30/2026
  win
• WORLDCUP

  France @ Norway

  Under 3.5 3.5 · 6/26/2026
  loss
• WORLDCUP

  Senegal @ Norway

  Under 2.5 2.5 · 6/22/2026
  loss
• WORLDCUP

  Senegal @ Norway

  Senegal · 6/22/2026
  loss
• WORLDCUP

  Ivory Coast @ Germany

  Germany · 6/20/2026
  win
• WORLDCUP

  Ivory Coast @ Germany

  Germany -1 · 6/20/2026
  push