Alabama Crimson Tide at Texas Longhorns: Alabama Crimson Tide +2.5 (-120) lost — NCAABB AI Pick Recap

Recap of our NCAABB AI spread pick on Alabama Crimson Tide at Texas Longhorns. The play (Alabama Crimson Tide +2.5 at -120, 70/10 confidence) lost.

Why we made this NCAABB spread pick

Multi-Agent: Sharp 75% strong on market/steam + Scout 70% confirmed. Consensus pick between Quant and Expert agents, with the Analyst Agent conceding in rebuttal. The Quant model identifies a +3.8% EV SIGNAL on Alabama +2.5. The Expert agent cited LINE_SHOP_VALUE, which is confirmed by the BEST PRICE of +2.5 at DraftKings being a full point better than other available lines. [SIGNALS FIRED] 3 pattern(s), 3 cluster(s) → deterministic confidence 70 (BASIC, expected ROI 1.0%): • EV_3PCT — 53.6% WR (n≈980): Moderate market EV remains after price shopping • LINE_SHOP_VALUE — 53.0% WR (n≈900): Multiple books disagree enough that price shopping creates edge • ENSEMBLE_AGREE — 58.6% WR (n≈540): Independent models agree on the same side, strengthening the conviction

How the Alabama Crimson Tide vs Texas Longhorns pick lost

Final: Alabama Crimson Tide 2 @ Texas Longhorns 14 · margin -12 vs 2.5