Available settled pick recaps, with their published context and result.
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Educational player-prop research currently represented in the archive—not a promise that a prop pick will be released.
Browse the complete player-prop research archiveThe published MLB selection Miami Marlins at -103 lost. 4★ official model pick (2u). Frozen distribution shows 8.1% uncertainty-adjusted EV at the offered price (11.6% raw projected EV) and a 5.9-point probability ed
The published MLB selection Under 8 at -114 lost. 3★ official model pick (1u). Frozen distribution shows 7.5% uncertainty-adjusted EV at the offered price (10.4% raw projected EV) and a 6.0-point probability ed
The published LIGUE1 selection Over 3 at -111 pushed. 5★ official model pick (3u). Frozen distribution shows 12.8% projected EV at the offered price; the uncertainty-adjusted lower bound is 9.3% (8.2-point probabil
The published BUNDESLIGA selection Under 3.5 at -135 cashed. 4★ official model pick (2u). Frozen distribution shows 9.4% projected EV at the offered price; the uncertainty-adjusted lower bound is 5.5% (5.4-point probabili
Bad beat: Final total 4 — landed 1 point from the 3 line.. 4★ official model pick (2u). Frozen distribution shows 10.3% projected EV at the offered price; the uncertainty-adjusted lower bound is 6.6%
Bad beat: Final total 4 — landed 1 point from the 3 line.
The published EPL selection Newcastle United at +225 cashed. 5★ official model pick (3u). Frozen distribution shows 23.7% projected EV at the offered price; the uncertainty-adjusted lower bound is 16.4% (7.3-point probabi
The published MLB selection Pittsburgh Pirates at +112 cashed. 4★ official model pick (2u). Frozen distribution shows 9.6% uncertainty-adjusted EV at the offered price (14.9% raw projected EV) and a 7.0-point probability ed
The published MLB selection Under 8 at -105 pushed. 3★ official model pick (1u). Frozen distribution shows 7.2% uncertainty-adjusted EV at the offered price (10.9% raw projected EV) and a 6.1-point probability ed
The published MLB selection Under 9 at -110 lost. 3★ official model pick (1u). Frozen distribution shows 4.9% uncertainty-adjusted EV at the offered price (8.9% raw projected EV) and a 5.2-point probability edg
The published MLB selection Blake Snell Under 17.5 Outs at +135 cashed. SLAM model edge: projected 14.919 outs, 50% to hit vs +135. Edge 7pt, EV 16.347838891868538%.
The published MLB selection Under 8 at -110 cashed. 3★ official model pick (1u). Frozen distribution shows 4.5% uncertainty-adjusted EV at the offered price (8.8% raw projected EV) and a 5.0-point probability edg
The published MLB selection Boston Red Sox at +110 cashed. 4★ official model pick (2u). Frozen distribution shows 8.9% uncertainty-adjusted EV at the offered price (12.3% raw projected EV) and a 5.9-point probability ed
The published UFC selection Song Yadong at +350 cashed. UFC production champion ufc-joint-fight-sim-v1.0.0. One frozen 5-round joint simulation priced winner, duration, method and winning-round outcomes together agai
The published UFC selection Denise Gomes at +142 cashed. UFC production champion ufc-joint-fight-sim-v1.0.0. One frozen 3-round joint simulation priced winner, duration, method and winning-round outcomes together agai
The published UFC selection Over 2.5 rounds at +104 cashed. UFC production champion ufc-joint-fight-sim-v1.0.0. One frozen 3-round joint simulation priced winner, duration, method and winning-round outcomes together agai
The published MLB selection Under 7.5 at -105 cashed. 3★ official model pick (1u). Frozen distribution shows 5.4% uncertainty-adjusted EV at the offered price (11.7% raw projected EV) and a 6.0-point probability ed
The published MLB selection Miami Marlins at -134 lost. 3★ official model pick (1u). Frozen distribution shows 4.4% uncertainty-adjusted EV at the offered price (7.7% raw projected EV) and a 4.4-point probability edg
The published TENNIS selection Ignacio Buse at +104 cashed. ATP production champion tennis-point-set-match-sim-v1.0.2-publication-safe. One frozen 3-set joint simulation priced this market against an exact same-book Pinn
The published TENNIS selection Raphael Collignon at -120 lost. ATP production champion tennis-point-set-match-sim-v1.0.2-publication-safe. One frozen 3-set joint simulation priced this market against an exact same-book Pinn
The published WTA selection Anna Bondar at -126 lost. WTA production champion tennis-point-set-match-sim-v1.0.2-publication-safe. One frozen 3-set joint simulation priced this market against an exact same-book Pinn
The published TENNIS selection Aleksandar Kovacevic at +127 cashed. ATP production champion tennis-point-set-match-sim-v1.0.2-publication-safe. One frozen 3-set joint simulation priced this market against an exact same-book Pinn
The published TENNIS selection Luciano Darderi at -104 cashed. ATP production champion tennis-point-set-match-sim-v1.0.2-publication-safe. One frozen 3-set joint simulation priced this market against an exact same-book Pinn
The published TENNIS selection Ignacio Buse at +145 cashed. ATP production champion tennis-point-set-match-sim-v1.0.2-publication-safe. One frozen 3-set joint simulation priced this market against an exact same-book Pinn
The published WTA selection Diane Parry at +139 cashed. WTA production champion tennis-point-set-match-sim-v1.0.2-publication-safe. One frozen 3-set joint simulation priced this market against an exact same-book Pinn
The published TENNIS selection Stefanos Tsitsipas at -154 cashed. ATP production champion tennis-point-set-match-sim-v1.0.2-publication-safe. One frozen 3-set joint simulation priced this market against an exact same-book Pinn
The published WTA selection Ann Li at +105 cashed. WTA production champion tennis-point-set-match-sim-v1.0.2-publication-safe. One frozen 3-set joint simulation priced this market against an exact same-book Pinn
The published WTA selection Jessica Pegula at +117 lost. WTA production champion tennis-point-set-match-sim-v1.0.2-publication-safe. One frozen 3-set joint simulation priced this market against an exact same-book Pinn
The published MLB selection Under 8 at -115 pushed. 3★ official model pick (1u). Frozen distribution shows 4.2% uncertainty-adjusted EV at the offered price (11.1% raw projected EV) and a 6.4-point probability ed
The published MLB selection Detroit Tigers at -108 lost. 3★ official model pick (1u). Frozen distribution shows 5.3% uncertainty-adjusted EV at the offered price (9.8% raw projected EV) and a 5.1-point probability edg
The published MLB selection Under 8 at -102 cashed. 3★ official model pick (1u). Frozen distribution shows 5.3% uncertainty-adjusted EV at the offered price (11.2% raw projected EV) and a 6.1-point probability ed
The published MLB selection Under 8 at -100 lost. 3★ official model pick (1u). Frozen distribution shows 6.2% uncertainty-adjusted EV at the offered price (11.6% raw projected EV) and a 6.3-point probability ed
The published UFC selection Gregory Rodrigues at +148 cashed. UFC production champion ufc-joint-fight-sim-v1.0.0. One frozen 5-round joint simulation priced winner, duration, method and winning-round outcomes together agai
The published UFC selection Roman Dolidze at +269 lost. UFC production champion ufc-joint-fight-sim-v1.0.0. One frozen 3-round joint simulation priced winner, duration, method and winning-round outcomes together agai
The published UFC selection MarQuel Mederos at +279 cashed. UFC production champion ufc-joint-fight-sim-v1.0.0. One frozen 3-round joint simulation priced winner, duration, method and winning-round outcomes together agai
The published UFC selection Kennedy Nzechukwu at +124 lost. UFC production champion ufc-joint-fight-sim-v1.0.0. One frozen 3-round joint simulation priced winner, duration, method and winning-round outcomes together agai
The published MLB selection Under 8 at -110 cashed. 4★ official model pick (2u). Frozen distribution shows 10.1% uncertainty-adjusted EV at the offered price (15.4% raw projected EV) and a 8.7-point probability e
The published MLB selection Under 7.5 at -115 cashed. 3★ official model pick (1u). Frozen distribution shows 7.1% uncertainty-adjusted EV at the offered price (14.5% raw projected EV) and a 7.8-point probability ed
The published WTA selection Marta Kostyuk at +119 lost. WTA production champion tennis-point-set-match-sim-v1.0.2-publication-safe. One frozen 3-set joint simulation priced this market against an exact same-book Pinn
The published MLB selection Detroit Tigers at +100 lost. 4★ official model pick (2u). Frozen distribution shows 9.6% uncertainty-adjusted EV at the offered price (14.3% raw projected EV) and a 7.1-point probability ed
The published MLB selection Under 7 at -108 cashed. 3★ official model pick (1u). Frozen distribution shows 4.5% uncertainty-adjusted EV at the offered price (8.4% raw projected EV) and a 5.0-point probability edg
The published WTA selection Madison Keys at -207 lost. WTA production champion tennis-point-set-match-sim-v1.0.2-publication-safe. One frozen 3-set joint simulation priced this market against an exact same-book Pinn
The published MLB selection Under 7.5 at -110 cashed. 3★ official model pick (1u). Frozen distribution shows 4.8% uncertainty-adjusted EV at the offered price (12.6% raw projected EV) and a 6.6-point probability ed
The published WTA selection Jessica Pegula at -128 cashed. WTA production champion tennis-point-set-match-sim-v1.0.2-publication-safe. One frozen 3-set joint simulation priced this market against an exact same-book Pinn
The published MLB selection Under 8.5 at -107 cashed. 4★ official model pick (2u). Frozen distribution shows 10.9% uncertainty-adjusted EV at the offered price (16.8% raw projected EV) and a 8.7-point probability e
The published MLB selection Under 9 at +102 cashed. 4★ official model pick (2u). Frozen distribution shows 8.0% uncertainty-adjusted EV at the offered price (12.1% raw projected EV) and a 6.7-point probability ed
Bad beat: Final total 9 — landed 0.5 points from the 8.5 line.. 3★ official model pick (1u). Frozen distribution shows 4.5% uncertainty-adjusted EV at the offered price (8.8% raw projected EV) and a 4.7-p
Bad beat: Final total 9 — landed 0.5 points from the 8.5 line.
The published MLB selection Under 7.5 at -117 cashed. 3★ official model pick (1u). Frozen distribution shows 4.2% uncertainty-adjusted EV at the offered price (8.8% raw projected EV) and a 4.7-point probability edg
The published WTA selection Elena Rybakina at -226 cashed. WTA production champion tennis-point-set-match-sim-v1.0.2-publication-safe. One frozen 3-set joint simulation priced this market against an exact same-book Pinn
Bad beat: Final total 10 — landed 1 point from the 9 line.. 3★ official model pick (1u). Frozen distribution shows 6.1% uncertainty-adjusted EV at the offered price (9.8% raw projected EV) and a 5.8-p
Bad beat: Final total 10 — landed 1 point from the 9 line.
The published MLB selection Under 7.5 at +100 lost. 3★ official model pick (1u). Frozen distribution shows 4.2% uncertainty-adjusted EV at the offered price (8.9% raw projected EV) and a 4.5-point probability edg