Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants: San Francisco Giants -1.5 (+146) lost — MLB AI Pick Recap

Recap of our MLB AI spread pick on Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants. The play (San Francisco Giants -1.5 at +146, 3★ confidence) lost.

Matchup

Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants

Pick

San Francisco Giants -1.5

Odds

+146

Confidence

★★★☆☆

Why we made this MLB spread pick

The San Francisco Giants -1.5 at +146 offers a positive EV of 0.7% against the Pinnacle fair line of +148. Robbie Ray of the Giants has a much stronger season ERA (3.45 vs 6.95) and WHIP (1.23 vs 1.59) than Tanner Gordon of the Rockies. The Giants' batting OPS against RHP (0.740) is also stronger than the Rockies' against LHP (0.704). The Rockies are coming off a B2B with a mild fatigue tag. The Giants have a pitcher park which could limit runs. Sized at 1u — Strong pitching mismatch and mild fatigue for the opponent. [SIGNALS USED] • TRAVEL_B2B_AWAY_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=1875 / 53.0% WR / healthy • MLB_BP_FATIGUE_HEAVY_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~alias:MLB_BP_FATIGUE_HEAVY_AWAY / n=1850 / 51.9% WR / toxic_fadeable • MLB_BP_FATIGUE_HEAVY_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=1850 / 51.9% WR / toxic_fadeable • TRAVEL_LONG_TRIP_3PLUS_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=1648 / 51.5% WR / healthy • TRAVEL_LONG_TRIP_3PLUS_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20)~alias:TRAVEL_LONG_TRIP_3PLUS_AWAY / n=1648 / 51.5% WR / healthy • MLB_NIGHTGAME_OVER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=1474 / 51.5% WR / healthy / context-derived • TRAVEL_GETAWAY_DAY_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=752 / 52.3% WR / healthy • MLB_GETAWAY_DAY_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=752 / 49.6% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived • MLB_SERIES_GAME3_ROAD_FADE — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=738 / 54.7% WR / healthy • MLB_SP_HOT_FORM — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=636 / 52.1% WR / healthy • MLB_PARK_PITCHER_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=487 / 54.8% WR / healthy / context-derived • TRAVEL_HOME_AFTER_LONG_TRIP_HOME — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=375 / 48.6% WR / toxic_fadeable • +13 more signal tag(s)