MLB
98 props
Research
July 10, 2026MLB Player Prop Research July 10, 2026: Our Numbers on Gunnar Henderson, Riley Greene, Elly De La Cruz
98 MLB player props our model priced today, each with its hit probability next to the sportsbook's implied odds. Where the two numbers disagree is where the research gets interesting. These are not betting picks — they're the model's read on the market, published for transparency.
Gunnar Henderson — Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 hits 1.5 Hits
Pending
Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles
Odds
-240
Our hit chance
77%
Implied by odds
70.6%
Riley Greene — Riley Greene Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers
Odds
-240
Our hit chance
76%
Implied by odds
70.6%
Elly De La Cruz — Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
Odds
-250
Our hit chance
75%
Implied by odds
71.4%
Colt Keith — Colt Keith Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers
Odds
-230
Our hit chance
74%
Implied by odds
69.7%
Brandon Marsh — Brandon Marsh Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers
Odds
-215
Our hit chance
73%
Implied by odds
68.3%
Francisco Lindor — Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 RBIs 0.5 RBIs
Pending
Boston Red Sox @ New York Mets
Odds
-240
Our hit chance
72%
Implied by odds
70.6%
Brice Turang — Brice Turang Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Push
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Odds
-230
Our hit chance
70%
Implied by odds
69.7%
Romy Gonzalez — Romy Gonzalez Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Boston Red Sox @ New York Mets
Odds
-215
Our hit chance
69%
Implied by odds
68.3%
A.J. Ewing — A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Boston Red Sox @ New York Mets
Odds
-220
Our hit chance
69%
Implied by odds
68.8%
Juan Soto — Juan Soto Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Boston Red Sox @ New York Mets
Odds
-205
Our hit chance
69%
Implied by odds
67.2%
Spencer Steer — Spencer Steer Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
Odds
-219
Our hit chance
69%
Implied by odds
68.7%
Chase DeLauter — Chase DeLauter Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins
Odds
-220
Our hit chance
69%
Implied by odds
68.8%
Michael Massey — Michael Massey Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles
Odds
-185
Our hit chance
69%
Implied by odds
64.9%
Blaze Alexander — Blaze Alexander Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles
Odds
-205
Our hit chance
69%
Implied by odds
67.2%
Wilyer Abreu — Wilyer Abreu Under 0.5 RBIs 0.5 RBIs
Pending
Boston Red Sox @ New York Mets
Odds
-250
Our hit chance
68%
Implied by odds
71.4%
Travis Bazzana — Travis Bazzana Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins
Odds
-225
Our hit chance
67%
Implied by odds
69.2%
Seiya Suzuki — Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
Odds
-205
Our hit chance
67%
Implied by odds
67.2%
Brandon Lowe — Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Push
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Odds
-205
Our hit chance
67%
Implied by odds
67.2%
Heriberto Hernandez — Heriberto Hernandez Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins
Odds
-170
Our hit chance
65%
Implied by odds
63%
Eduardo Valencia — Eduardo Valencia Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers
Odds
-185
Our hit chance
65%
Implied by odds
64.9%
Jake Bauers — Jake Bauers Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Push
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Odds
-165
Our hit chance
65%
Implied by odds
62.3%
Jacob Wilson — Jacob Wilson Under 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored
Pending
Oakland Athletics @ Chicago White Sox
Odds
-190
Our hit chance
64%
Implied by odds
65.5%
Adley Rutschman — Adley Rutschman Under 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored
Pending
Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles
Odds
-125
Our hit chance
64%
Implied by odds
55.6%
Dylan Beavers — Dylan Beavers Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles
Odds
-177
Our hit chance
64%
Implied by odds
63.9%
Kahlil Watson — Kahlil Watson Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins
Odds
-148
Our hit chance
63%
Implied by odds
59.7%
Nick Loftin — Nick Loftin Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles
Odds
-170
Our hit chance
63%
Implied by odds
63%
Jared Young — Jared Young Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Boston Red Sox @ New York Mets
Odds
-143
Our hit chance
62%
Implied by odds
58.8%
Eugenio Suarez — Eugenio Suarez Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
Odds
-165
Our hit chance
62%
Implied by odds
62.3%
Michael Busch — Michael Busch Under 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored
Pending
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
Odds
-135
Our hit chance
62%
Implied by odds
57.4%
Colton Cowser — Colton Cowser Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles
Odds
-162
Our hit chance
62%
Implied by odds
61.8%
Jorge Polanco — Jorge Polanco Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Boston Red Sox @ New York Mets
Odds
-160
Our hit chance
61%
Implied by odds
61.5%
Steven Kwan — Steven Kwan Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins
Odds
-165
Our hit chance
61%
Implied by odds
62.3%
Pete Crow-Armstrong — Pete Crow-Armstrong Under 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored
Pending
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
Odds
-115
Our hit chance
61%
Implied by odds
53.5%
Esteury Ruiz — Esteury Ruiz Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins
Odds
-130
Our hit chance
60%
Implied by odds
56.5%
Pete Alonso — Pete Alonso Under 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored
Pending
Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles
Odds
-110
Our hit chance
60%
Implied by odds
52.4%
Samuel Basallo — Samuel Basallo Under 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored
Pending
Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles
Odds
-145
Our hit chance
60%
Implied by odds
59.2%
Shea Langeliers — Shea Langeliers Under 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored
Pending
Oakland Athletics @ Chicago White Sox
Odds
-140
Our hit chance
57%
Implied by odds
58.3%
Jakob Marsee — Jakob Marsee Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins
Odds
-134
Our hit chance
57%
Implied by odds
57.3%
Taylor Ward — Taylor Ward Under 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored
Pending
Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles
Odds
-125
Our hit chance
57%
Implied by odds
55.6%
Carter Jensen — Carter Jensen Under 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored
Pending
Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles
Odds
-120
Our hit chance
57%
Implied by odds
54.5%
Miguel Vargas — Miguel Vargas Under 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored
Pending
Oakland Athletics @ Chicago White Sox
Odds
-135
Our hit chance
55%
Implied by odds
57.4%
James Outman — James Outman Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers
Odds
-120
Our hit chance
51%
Implied by odds
54.5%
Nick Kurtz — Nick Kurtz Over 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored
Pending
Oakland Athletics @ Chicago White Sox
Odds
-115
Our hit chance
50%
Implied by odds
53.5%
Lawrence Butler — Lawrence Butler Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Oakland Athletics @ Chicago White Sox
Odds
+100
Our hit chance
47%
Implied by odds
50%
Sal Stewart — Sal Stewart Over 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored
Pending
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
Odds
-110
Our hit chance
46%
Implied by odds
52.4%
Leo Jimenez — Leo Jimenez Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins
Odds
+105
Our hit chance
46%
Implied by odds
48.8%
Ian Happ — Ian Happ Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
Odds
+120
Our hit chance
45%
Implied by odds
45.5%
Dansby Swanson — Dansby Swanson Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
Odds
+123
Our hit chance
45%
Implied by odds
44.8%
Kevin McGonigle — Kevin McGonigle Over 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored
Pending
Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers
Odds
-115
Our hit chance
45%
Implied by odds
53.5%
Michael Conforto — Michael Conforto Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
Odds
-105
Our hit chance
44%
Implied by odds
51.2%
Kyle Manzardo — Kyle Manzardo Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins
Odds
+125
Our hit chance
44%
Implied by odds
44.4%
Jackson Holliday — Jackson Holliday Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles
Odds
+120
Our hit chance
44%
Implied by odds
45.5%
Noelvi Marte — Noelvi Marte Over 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored
Pending
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
Odds
+130
Our hit chance
43%
Implied by odds
43.5%
Alex Bregman — Alex Bregman Over 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored
Pending
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
Odds
+101
Our hit chance
43%
Implied by odds
49.8%
Isaac Collins — Isaac Collins Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles
Odds
+115
Our hit chance
43%
Implied by odds
46.5%
Zach McKinstry — Zach McKinstry Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers
Odds
+140
Our hit chance
43%
Implied by odds
41.7%
Colson Montgomery — Colson Montgomery Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Oakland Athletics @ Chicago White Sox
Odds
+130
Our hit chance
42%
Implied by odds
43.5%
Kyle Teel — Kyle Teel Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Oakland Athletics @ Chicago White Sox
Odds
+134
Our hit chance
42%
Implied by odds
42.7%
Caleb Durbin — Caleb Durbin Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Boston Red Sox @ New York Mets
Odds
+125
Our hit chance
42%
Implied by odds
44.4%
Tyler Stephenson — Tyler Stephenson Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
Odds
+128
Our hit chance
42%
Implied by odds
43.9%
Braden Montgomery — Braden Montgomery Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Oakland Athletics @ Chicago White Sox
Odds
+145
Our hit chance
41%
Implied by odds
40.8%
Anthony Seigler — Anthony Seigler Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Boston Red Sox @ New York Mets
Odds
+108
Our hit chance
41%
Implied by odds
48.1%
Otto Lopez — Otto Lopez Over 1.5 hits 1.5 Hits
Pending
Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins
Odds
+170
Our hit chance
41%
Implied by odds
37%
Kyle Stowers — Kyle Stowers Over 0.5 RBIs 0.5 RBIs
Pending
Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins
Odds
+165
Our hit chance
41%
Implied by odds
37.7%
Lane Thomas — Lane Thomas Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles
Odds
+136
Our hit chance
41%
Implied by odds
42.4%
Kyle Schwarber — Kyle Schwarber Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers
Odds
+135
Our hit chance
41%
Implied by odds
42.6%
Bryan Reynolds — Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 RBIs 0.5 RBIs
Push
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Odds
+160
Our hit chance
41%
Implied by odds
38.5%
Jonah Heim — Jonah Heim Over 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored
Pending
Oakland Athletics @ Chicago White Sox
Odds
+145
Our hit chance
40%
Implied by odds
40.8%
Tyler Soderstrom — Tyler Soderstrom Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Oakland Athletics @ Chicago White Sox
Odds
+135
Our hit chance
40%
Implied by odds
42.6%
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer — Joshua Kuroda-Grauer Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Oakland Athletics @ Chicago White Sox
Odds
+148
Our hit chance
40%
Implied by odds
40.3%
JJ Bleday — JJ Bleday Over 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored
Pending
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
Odds
+111
Our hit chance
40%
Implied by odds
47.4%
Edwin Arroyo — Edwin Arroyo Over 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored
Pending
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
Odds
+155
Our hit chance
40%
Implied by odds
39.2%
Javier Sanoja — Javier Sanoja Over 0.5 RBIs 0.5 RBIs
Pending
Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins
Odds
+190
Our hit chance
40%
Implied by odds
34.5%
Salvador Perez — Salvador Perez Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles
Odds
+151
Our hit chance
40%
Implied by odds
39.8%
Bryson Stott — Bryson Stott Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers
Odds
+143
Our hit chance
40%
Implied by odds
41.2%
Spencer Torkelson — Spencer Torkelson Over 0.5 RBIs 0.5 RBIs
Pending
Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers
Odds
+155
Our hit chance
40%
Implied by odds
39.2%
Henry Bolte — Henry Bolte Over 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored
Pending
Oakland Athletics @ Chicago White Sox
Odds
+128
Our hit chance
39%
Implied by odds
43.9%
Carson Kelly — Carson Kelly Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
Odds
+125
Our hit chance
39%
Implied by odds
44.4%
Alec Bohm — Alec Bohm Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers
Odds
+165
Our hit chance
39%
Implied by odds
37.7%
Tristan Peters — Tristan Peters Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Oakland Athletics @ Chicago White Sox
Odds
+120
Our hit chance
38%
Implied by odds
45.5%
Andrew Benintendi — Andrew Benintendi Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Oakland Athletics @ Chicago White Sox
Odds
+148
Our hit chance
38%
Implied by odds
40.3%
Nico Hoerner — Nico Hoerner Over 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored
Pending
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
Odds
+130
Our hit chance
38%
Implied by odds
43.5%
Bryce Harper — Bryce Harper Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers
Odds
+163
Our hit chance
38%
Implied by odds
38%
Garrett Mitchell — Garrett Mitchell Over 0.5 RBIs 0.5 RBIs
Push
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Odds
+210
Our hit chance
38%
Implied by odds
32.3%
Jarren Duran — Jarren Duran Over 0.5 RBIs 0.5 RBIs
Pending
Boston Red Sox @ New York Mets
Odds
+185
Our hit chance
37%
Implied by odds
35.1%
Sam Antonacci — Sam Antonacci Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Oakland Athletics @ Chicago White Sox
Odds
+158
Our hit chance
36%
Implied by odds
38.8%
Jac Caglianone — Jac Caglianone Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles
Odds
+160
Our hit chance
36%
Implied by odds
38.5%
Chase Meidroth — Chase Meidroth Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Oakland Athletics @ Chicago White Sox
Odds
+180
Our hit chance
35%
Implied by odds
35.7%
Brayan Rocchio — Brayan Rocchio Over 0.5 RBIs 0.5 RBIs
Pending
Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins
Odds
+220
Our hit chance
35%
Implied by odds
31.3%
Jake Mangum — Jake Mangum Over 1.5 hits 1.5 Hits
Push
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Odds
+165
Our hit chance
35%
Implied by odds
37.7%
Trea Turner — Trea Turner Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers
Odds
+185
Our hit chance
35%
Implied by odds
35.1%
Christian Yelich — Christian Yelich Over 0.5 RBIs 0.5 RBIs
Push
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Odds
+210
Our hit chance
35%
Implied by odds
32.3%
Zack Gelof — Zack Gelof Over 0.5 RBIs 0.5 RBIs
Pending
Oakland Athletics @ Chicago White Sox
Odds
+235
Our hit chance
34%
Implied by odds
29.9%
Ceddanne Rafaela — Ceddanne Rafaela Over 0.5 RBIs 0.5 RBIs
Pending
Boston Red Sox @ New York Mets
Odds
+210
Our hit chance
34%
Implied by odds
32.3%
Rhys Hoskins — Rhys Hoskins Over 0.5 RBIs 0.5 RBIs
Pending
Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins
Odds
+220
Our hit chance
34%
Implied by odds
31.3%
Xavier Edwards — Xavier Edwards Over 0.5 RBIs 0.5 RBIs
Pending
Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins
Odds
+185
Our hit chance
34%
Implied by odds
35.1%
Jeff McNeil — Jeff McNeil Over 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored
Pending
Oakland Athletics @ Chicago White Sox
Odds
+180
Our hit chance
33%
Implied by odds
35.7%
Daniel Schneemann — Daniel Schneemann Over 0.5 RBIs 0.5 RBIs
Pending
Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins
Odds
+240
Our hit chance
33%
Implied by odds
29.4%
What this is (and isn't)
These props are research from the same calibrated engine that runs our board — the model's hit probability vs the market's implied number, graded after games for accuracy. They are not picks and are not part of our tracked betting record. For the actual picks we publish and stand behind, grab today's free pick — or learn how odds convert to probabilities.