Multi-agent reasoning · v2

Four agents debate.
One pick gets locked.

Every Slam Wager pick is the result of a structured argument between four specialist agents. Watch it happen below — then read the breakdowns if you want to go deeper.

NBA · live simulation

Lakers @ Celtics

watching
SCOUT
SHARP
MODEL
FORGE
0%
AGENT_INPUT_01

signal · live
Pinnacle -3.5 / -108 · steady ◆ 71% tickets · 38% money on BOS ◆ Reverse line movement detected ◆ AD listed questionable · pre-gamePinnacle -3.5 / -108 · steady ◆ 71% tickets · 38% money on BOS ◆ Reverse line movement detected ◆ AD listed questionable · pre-game
Meet the agents

What each specialist actually does

SCOUT
The situational read

The human-sharp voice. Surfaces narrative, motivation, coaching, and context the numbers miss.

Lineup & injury impact

Reads the depth chart for hidden ripple effects beyond the headline player.

Coaching tendencies

Knows which staffs script aggressive, which go conservative late, who hates road dogs.

Spot & motivation

Look-aheads, revenge games, B2B fatigue, travel, weather feel, rivalry intensity.

Park & ref nuance

Umpire zones, ref crew pace, park dimensions — small edges that compound.

SHARP
The market structure read

Pure market signal. Reads what the line, the money, and the sharp books are screaming.

Line velocity & steam

Tracks how fast a number moves and which books moved first.

Reverse line movement

Spots lines moving opposite the public — the clearest sharp footprint there is.

EV vs Pinnacle fair

Anchors every price against the sharpest book on earth, flags ≥3% edges.

Sharp vs public splits

Cuts through ticket-count noise to find where the real money is landing.

MODEL
The math anchor

A 5-model ensemble that calibrates probability, edge, and cross-market sanity.

Ensemble probability

signal_stack, clv_prior, rtm, market_micro, sos_narrative — blended, not averaged.

Edge & calibration

Edge = your probability − implied probability. Skips anything under 2%.

Disagreement spread

When the 5 sub-models diverge, confidence comes down. Quiet ensemble = strong play.

Cross-market sanity

Spread, moneyline, and total have to tell the same story or the take dies.

FORGE
The synthesizer

Hears all three, argues the counter-case out loud, then locks the final pick.

Weighs the debate

Doesn't average — weights each lane by how strong its signal actually is on this game.

Argues against itself

Writes the bear case before locking. If the rebuttal lands, the pick gets cut or sized down.

Sizes the play

Confidence drives stake. Tight ensemble + market alignment = full play. Mixed signal = sized down.

Locks consensus

Final pick, final line, final confidence — published only when the debate actually resolves.

See today's debate, locked into picks.

Same four agents. Real games. New picks every day.