MLBJun 21, 2026, 10:41 AM

Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers

Published by Slam Wager

Published Pick
Under 8 (-105)
total · evidence score 64/100 · 2u official
Result
Lost

Published pick reasoning

Forge (Scout·Sharp·Model): Sharp 65% strong on market/steam + Scout 58% confirmed. All three agents agree on the Under 8 for the Chicago White Sox @ Detroit Tigers game. SCOUT points to both teams' recent offensive struggles (White Sox 3.3 RS/g, Tigers 3.9 RS/g in last 10) and Comerica Park being pitcher-friendly. SHARP identifies a better EV for the Under (-2.4%) despite both sides having negative EV, with a tight consensus on the total. MODEL's projection shows a 0.7% edge on the Under, also citing offensive struggles and noting that both bullpens are fresh. This makes it a medium confidence pick, as all three agents are aligned on the side and reasoning regarding offensive struggles and park factors. [SIGNALS FIRED] 1 pattern(s), 1 cluster(s) → deterministic confidence 64 (BASIC, expected ROI 14.4%): • ENSEMBLE_AGREE — 58.6% WR (n≈540): Independent models agree on the same side, strengthening the conviction

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Bad Beat

Final total 9 — landed 1 point from the 8 line.

Result notes

Final: Chicago White Sox 4 @ Detroit Tigers 5 · total 9 vs 8

Closing line: 8.5

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