MLBJun 30, 2026, 6:41 PM

Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners

Published by Slam Wager

Published Pick
Under 7 (+100)
total · evidence score 71/100 · 1u official
Result
Lost

Published pick reasoning

Sized at 1u — confidence 60, public bias toward the over suggests value on the under. T-Mobile Park (Run 90, HR 90) also projects as a pitcher-friendly park for this game. However, the EV is negative, and price dispersion is high, leading to a lean pick. [SIGNALS FIRED] 3 pattern(s), 3 cluster(s) → deterministic confidence 71 (BASIC, expected ROI 9.5%): • PUBLIC_TOTAL_SHADE_FADE — 54.5% WR (live, n=45): Totals market is shaded by public behavior, making the opposite side attractive • RLM_WITH — WR: insufficient data: Reverse line movement IN FAVOR of pick — corroborating only (ticket %, not money %) • MLB_PARK_PITCHER_UNDER — 55.0% WR (live, n=1459): Pitcher-friendly park factor supports the Under [SIGNALS USED] • PUBLIC_TOTAL_SHADE_FADE — MLB / LIFETIME / n=57 / 52.7% WR / unproven • RLM_WITH — MLB / LIFETIME / n=29 / 42.9% WR / unproven • MLB_PARK_PITCHER_UNDER — MLB / BACKFILL_3Y / n=1459 / 55.0% WR / healthy

Result notes

Final: Los Angeles Angels 3 @ Seattle Mariners 8 · total 11 vs 7

Closing line: 7

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