MLBJun 22, 2026, 4:11 PM
Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds
Published by Slam Wager
Published Pick
Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+110)
spread · evidence score 68/100 · 2u official
Result
Lost
Published pick reasoning
Forge (Scout·Sharp·Model): Sharp 70% strong on market/steam + Model 56% confirmed. This play is based on a rare clean sweep of agreement across all three scouts and a positive expected value signal. The MODEL projects a 1.8% edge, and the SHARP's high conviction (70) is driven by a confirmed +0.4% EV SIGNAL. This quantitative case is supported by the SCOUT's narrative of the Brewers' dominant record (46-29).
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Bad Beat
Lost by 0.5 against the spread (needed Milwaukee Brewers -1.5).
Result notes
Final: Milwaukee Brewers 2 @ Cincinnati Reds 1 · margin +1 vs -1.5
Closing line: -1.5
Available related receipts
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- lossMLBSan Diego Padres @ Arizona DiamondbacksUnder 9 9 · 8/5/2026
- lossMLBToronto Blue Jays @ Houston AstrosUnder 8 8 · 8/4/2026
- lossMLBLos Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago CubsLos Angeles Dodgers · 8/4/2026
- lossMLBPittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee BrewersOver 7.5 7.5 · 8/4/2026
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