Pittsburgh Pirates @ Washington Nationals

Why the AI made this pick

Judgment prop — picked by signal angle MLB_BP_FATIGUE_HEAVY_HOME. Median retail +160 across 2 books (implied 38.5%); no Pinnacle pair on this exact line (unanchored). [SIGNALS USED] • TRAVEL_B2B_AWAY_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=5027 / 53.3% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_BP_FATIGUE_HEAVY_HOME — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=4878 / 48.3% WR / toxic_fadeable • MLB_NIGHTGAME_OVER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=4446 / 50.3% WR / toxic_fadeable • MLB_SERIES_OPENER_HOME_BACK — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=2351 / 51.0% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived • MLB_SERIES_OPENER_AWAY_FADE — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=2351 / 51.0% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived • TEAM_AGE_YOUNG_HOME — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=567 / 49.5% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived

Result notes

Ryan O'Hearn finished with 0 (RBI) vs line 0.5

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