UFCJun 14, 2026, 8:40 PM
Ciryl Gane @ Alex Pereira
Published by Slam Wager
Published Pick
No (+110)
goes_distance · evidence score 72/100 · 3u official
Result
Won
Published pick reasoning
Model edge implies -186 fair odds for a stoppage, creating +36.5% EV against the +110 price at DraftKings. Confidence: 60 (base) + 12 (EV >= +5%) = 72. [SIGNALS FIRED] 1 pattern(s), 1 cluster(s) → deterministic confidence 62 (BASIC, expected ROI 11.3%): • LINE_SHOP_VALUE — 53.0% WR (n≈900): Multiple books disagree enough that price shopping creates edge
Result notes
Final: Ciryl Gane def. Alex Pereira (R2 1:27) · early finish
Closing line: 5.5
Available related receipts
- winUFCJustin Gaethje @ Ilia TopuriaJustin Gaethje · 6/14/2026
- winUFCCiryl Gane @ Alex PereiraUnder 2.5 · 6/14/2026
- lossUFCDaniel Rodriguez @ Uros MedicDaniel Rodriguez · 8/2/2026
- lossUFCMarcin Tybura @ Aleksandar RakicMarcin Tybura · 8/2/2026
- lossUFCDiego Ferreira @ Billy QuarantilloBilly Quarantillo · 8/8/2026
- lossUFCVicente Luque @ Tresean GoreVicente Luque · 8/15/2026
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