UFCJun 14, 2026, 8:40 PM

Ciryl Gane @ Alex Pereira

Published by Slam Wager

Published Pick
No (+110)
goes_distance · evidence score 72/100 · 3u official
Result
Won

Published pick reasoning

Model edge implies -186 fair odds for a stoppage, creating +36.5% EV against the +110 price at DraftKings. Confidence: 60 (base) + 12 (EV >= +5%) = 72. [SIGNALS FIRED] 1 pattern(s), 1 cluster(s) → deterministic confidence 62 (BASIC, expected ROI 11.3%): • LINE_SHOP_VALUE — 53.0% WR (n≈900): Multiple books disagree enough that price shopping creates edge

Result notes

Final: Ciryl Gane def. Alex Pereira (R2 1:27) · early finish

Closing line: 5.5

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