Haiti @ Morocco

Published pick reasoning

The `PUBLIC_TOTAL_SHADE_FADE` signal is the primary driver here, with books shading towards the Over value, indicating public money on the Under. This signal has a stable 75% win rate over the last 30 and 90 days. Despite the negative EV for both Over and Under, the strong historical performance of the `PUBLIC_TOTAL_SHADE_FADE` signal supports this pick, but the conflicting EV prevents a higher confidence. Sized at 1u — LEAN pick, borderline confidence. [SIGNALS FIRED] 1 pattern(s), 1 cluster(s) → deterministic confidence 64 (BASIC, expected ROI 16.2%): • PUBLIC_TOTAL_SHADE_FADE — 53.3% WR (n≈690): Totals market is shaded by public behavior, making the opposite side attractive

Result notes

Final: Haiti 2 @ Morocco 4 · total 6 vs 2.5

Available related receipts

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