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7/5/2026

Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners: Under 7.5 (-120) cashed — MLB AI Pick Recap

Recap of our MLB AI total pick on Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners. The play (Under 7.5 at -120, 5★ confidence) cashed.

Matchup
Toronto Blue Jays @ Seattle Mariners
Pick
Under 7.5
Odds
-120
Confidence
★★★★★

Why we made this MLB total pick

This is a strong lean to the Under based on multiple converging factors. T-Mobile Park is a top-tier pitcher's park (Run Index 90), which immediately suppresses scoring expectations. We pair that with a Toronto offense that has been anemic, averaging just 2.9 runs per game over their last 10 contests. While Mariners starter Emerson Hancock has shown some volatility, Blue Jays starter Trey Yesavage is in excellent form, allowing just 5 earned runs over his last 19.2 innings. Furthermore, the public is leaning over, creating value on the under as books shade the line. With both bullpens fresh and the Blue Jays on a get-away day, all signs point to a lower-scoring affair. Sized at 3u — confidence 79 with multiple strong, independent signals pointing to the Under. [SIGNALS USED] • TRAVEL_B2B_AWAY_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=5027 / 53.3% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_NIGHTGAME_OVER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=4446 / 50.7% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived • MLB_UMP_HITTER_OVER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=3533 / 51.9% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_SERIES_FINALE_HOME_BACK — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=2351 / 51.8% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_SERIES_FINALE_AWAY_FADE — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=2351 / 53.5% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_SERIES_GAME3_ROAD_FADE — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=2243 / 53.3% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_GETAWAY_DAY_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20)~alias:MLB_GETAWAY_DAY_UNDER / n=1800 / 51.6% WR / healthy • MLB_GETAWAY_DAY_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=1800 / 51.6% WR / healthy • MLB_PARK_PITCHER_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=10/20) / n=1459 / 52.5% WR / healthy • MLB_BP_RESTED_HOME — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=215 / 49.4% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived • MLB_BP_RESTED_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=180 / 50.8% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived • LINE_DISPERSION_TIGHT — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=25 / 44.0% WR / unproven • +18 more signal tag(s)

How the Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners pick cashed

Final: Toronto Blue Jays 0 @ Seattle Mariners 4 · total 4 vs 7.5

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