MLB
win
7/9/2026

Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles: Pete Alonso Under 0.5 RBIs (-160) cashed — MLB AI Pick Recap

Recap of our MLB AI player_prop pick on Chicago Cubs at Baltimore Orioles. The play (Pete Alonso Under 0.5 RBIs at -160, 2★ confidence) cashed.

Matchup
Chicago Cubs @ Baltimore Orioles
Pick
Pete Alonso Under 0.5 RBIs
Odds
-160
Confidence
★★☆☆☆

Why we made this MLB player_prop pick

Judgment prop — picked by signal angles MLB_DAYGAME_UNDER + MLB_GETAWAY_DAY_UNDER. Median retail -160 across 4 books (implied 61.5%); no Pinnacle pair on this exact line (unanchored). PROJ: 52.4% Under — 0.149/PA × 4.3 PA (slot 4) → mean 0.65 (no anchor to compare). [SIGNALS USED] • TRAVEL_B2B_AWAY_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=1875 / 53.0% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_DAYGAME_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=963 / 48.5% WR / toxic_fadeable • MLB_SERIES_FINALE_HOME_BACK — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=783 / 52.1% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_SERIES_FINALE_AWAY_FADE — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=783 / 54.1% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_GETAWAY_DAY_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=752 / 49.6% WR / toxic_fadeable • MLB_SERIES_GAME3_ROAD_FADE — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=738 / 54.7% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_DAY_AFTER_NIGHT_FADE — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=212 / 50.0% WR / toxic_fadeable • TEAM_AGE_OLD_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=83 / 44.9% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived

How the Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles pick cashed

Pete Alonso finished with 0 (RBI) vs line 0.5

See more MLB AI picks and player props tracked in our public record.

More MLB pick recaps

Want picks like this in your inbox before they post? See pricing.