MLB
loss
7/8/2026Kansas City Royals at New York Mets: Jac Caglianone Under 0.5 hits (+140) lost — MLB AI Pick Recap
Recap of our MLB AI player_prop pick on Kansas City Royals at New York Mets. The play (Jac Caglianone Under 0.5 hits at +140, 1★ confidence) lost.
Matchup
Kansas City Royals @ New York Mets
Pick
Jac Caglianone Under 0.5 hits
Odds
+140
Confidence
★☆☆☆☆
Why we made this MLB player_prop pick
Judgment prop — picked by signal angle MLB_PARK_PITCHER_UNDER. Median retail +140 across 2 books (implied 41.7%); no Pinnacle pair on this exact line (unanchored). PROJ: 34.2% Under — 0.232/PA × 4.0 PA (lineup unposted) → mean 0.94 (no anchor to compare). [SIGNALS USED] • MLB_NIGHTGAME_OVER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=1474 / 53.0% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_PARK_PITCHER_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=487 / 54.8% WR / healthy
How the Kansas City Royals vs New York Mets pick lost
Jac Caglianone finished with 1 (H) vs line 0.5
See more MLB AI picks and player props tracked in our public record.
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