Oakland Athletics at Detroit Tigers: Riley Greene Over 0.5 hits (-213) lost — MLB AI Pick Recap

Recap of our MLB AI player_prop pick on Oakland Athletics at Detroit Tigers. The play (Riley Greene Over 0.5 hits at -213, 4★ confidence) lost.

Matchup

Oakland Athletics @ Detroit Tigers

Pick

Riley Greene Over 0.5 hits

Odds

-213

Confidence

★★★★☆

Why we made this MLB player_prop pick

Judgment prop — picked by signal angles MLB_NIGHTGAME_OVER + MLB_HOT_BAT. Median retail -213 across 5 books (implied 68.1%); no Pinnacle pair on this exact line (unanchored). PROJ: 68.6% Over — 0.248/PA × 4.0 PA (lineup unposted) → mean 1.01 (no anchor to compare). [SIGNALS USED] • MLB_NIGHTGAME_OVER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=1474 / 53.0% WR / healthy • MLB_SERIES_FINALE_HOME_BACK — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=783 / 52.1% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_SERIES_FINALE_AWAY_FADE — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=783 / 54.1% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_SERIES_GAME3_ROAD_FADE — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=738 / 54.7% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_HOT_BAT — MLB / NO_CALIBRATION_ROW_YET / n=0 / WR n/a / unproven