Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds: Bryson Stott Over 0.5 runs (+106) lost — MLB AI Pick Recap
Recap of our MLB AI player_prop pick on Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds. The play (Bryson Stott Over 0.5 runs at +106, 1★ confidence) lost.
Why we made this MLB player_prop pick
Judgment prop — picked by signal angle MLB_PARK_HITTER_OVER. Median retail +106 across 3 books (implied 48.5%); no Pinnacle pair on this exact line (unanchored). PROJ: 37.2% Over — 0.109/PA × 4.0 PA (lineup unposted) → mean 0.44 (no anchor to compare). [SIGNALS USED] • TRAVEL_B2B_AWAY_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=1875 / 53.0% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_NIGHTGAME_OVER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=1474 / 53.0% WR / healthy • MLB_SERIES_FINALE_HOME_BACK — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=783 / 52.1% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_SERIES_FINALE_AWAY_FADE — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=783 / 54.1% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_SERIES_GAME3_ROAD_FADE — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=738 / 54.7% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_PARK_HITTER_OVER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=488 / 58.4% WR / healthy • MLB_TEAM_BIG_VS_LHP_OVER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=10/20) / n=75 / 49.7% WR / unproven
How the Philadelphia Phillies vs Cincinnati Reds pick lost
Bryson Stott finished with 0 (R) vs line 0.5