Seattle Mariners at Miami Marlins: J.P. Crawford Over 0.5 runs (+108) lost — MLB AI Pick Recap
Recap of our MLB AI player_prop pick on Seattle Mariners at Miami Marlins. The play (J.P. Crawford Over 0.5 runs at +108, 1★ confidence) lost.
Why we made this MLB player_prop pick
Judgment prop — picked by signal angles MLB_PLATOON_BIG_R_AWAY + MLB_BP_FATIGUE_HEAVY_HOME + MLB_NIGHTGAME_OVER. Median retail +108 across 2 books (implied 48.1%); no Pinnacle pair on this exact line (unanchored). PROJ: 43.0% Over — 0.114/PA × 4.7 PA (slot 1) → mean 0.53 (no anchor to compare). [SIGNALS USED] • MLB_BP_FATIGUE_HEAVY_HOME — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=1876 / 48.9% WR / toxic_fadeable • TRAVEL_B2B_AWAY_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=1875 / 53.0% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_NIGHTGAME_OVER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=1474 / 53.0% WR / healthy • MLB_SERIES_FINALE_HOME_BACK — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=783 / 52.1% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_SERIES_FINALE_AWAY_FADE — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=783 / 54.1% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_SERIES_GAME3_ROAD_FADE — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=738 / 54.7% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_PARK_PITCHER_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=487 / 54.8% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_TEAM_BIG_VS_RHP_OVER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=243 / 53.1% WR / healthy • MLB_PLATOON_BIG_R_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=114 / 45.6% WR / toxic_fadeable
How the Seattle Mariners vs Miami Marlins pick lost
J.P. Crawford finished with 0 (R) vs line 0.5