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7/11/2026

Boston Red Sox at New York Mets: Carson Benge Under 0.5 hits (+130) cashed — MLB AI Pick Recap

Recap of our MLB AI player_prop pick on Boston Red Sox at New York Mets. The play (Carson Benge Under 0.5 hits at +130, 1★ confidence) cashed.

Matchup
Boston Red Sox @ New York Mets
Pick
Carson Benge Under 0.5 hits
Odds
+130
Confidence
★☆☆☆☆

Why we made this MLB player_prop pick

Judgment prop — picked by signal angles MLB_PARK_PITCHER_UNDER + MLB_DAYGAME_UNDER. Median retail +130 across 2 books (implied 43.5%); no Pinnacle pair on this exact line (unanchored). PROJ: 27.8% Under — 0.252/PA × 4.3 PA (slot 4) → mean 1.09; vs LHP split used (88 PA) (no anchor to compare). [SIGNALS USED] • TRAVEL_B2B_AWAY_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=1875 / 53.0% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_DAYGAME_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=963 / 48.5% WR / toxic_fadeable • MLB_PARK_PITCHER_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=487 / 54.8% WR / healthy • MLB_DAY_AFTER_NIGHT_FADE — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=212 / 50.0% WR / toxic_fadeable

How the Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets pick cashed

Carson Benge finished with 0 (H) vs line 0.5

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