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7/11/2026

Boston Red Sox at New York Mets: Brett Baty Under 0.5 hits (+104) cashed — MLB AI Pick Recap

Recap of our MLB AI player_prop pick on Boston Red Sox at New York Mets. The play (Brett Baty Under 0.5 hits at +104, 1★ confidence) cashed.

Matchup
Boston Red Sox @ New York Mets
Pick
Brett Baty Under 0.5 hits
Odds
+104
Confidence
★☆☆☆☆

Why we made this MLB player_prop pick

Judgment prop — picked by signal angles MLB_PARK_PITCHER_UNDER + MLB_DAYGAME_UNDER. Median retail +104 across 2 books (implied 49.0%); no Pinnacle pair on this exact line (unanchored). PROJ: 45.0% Under — 0.179/PA × 4.0 PA (lineup unposted) → mean 0.72; vs LHP split used (67 PA) (no anchor to compare). [SIGNALS USED] • TRAVEL_B2B_AWAY_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=1875 / 53.0% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_DAYGAME_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=963 / 48.5% WR / toxic_fadeable • MLB_PARK_PITCHER_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=487 / 54.8% WR / healthy • MLB_DAY_AFTER_NIGHT_FADE — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=212 / 50.0% WR / toxic_fadeable

How the Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets pick cashed

Brett Baty finished with 0 (H) vs line 0.5

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