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7/10/2026

Boston Red Sox at New York Mets: Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 RBIs (-240) cashed — MLB AI Pick Recap

Recap of our MLB AI player_prop pick on Boston Red Sox at New York Mets. The play (Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 RBIs at -240, 5★ confidence) cashed.

Matchup
Boston Red Sox @ New York Mets
Pick
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 RBIs
Odds
-240
Confidence
★★★★★

Why we made this MLB player_prop pick

Judgment prop — picked by signal angle MLB_PARK_PITCHER_UNDER. Median retail -240 across 2 books (implied 70.6%); no Pinnacle pair on this exact line (unanchored). PROJ: 73.3% Under — 0.077/PA × 4.0 PA (lineup unposted) → mean 0.31 (no anchor to compare). [SIGNALS USED] • MLB_NIGHTGAME_OVER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=1474 / 53.0% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_SERIES_OPENER_HOME_BACK — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=782 / 49.5% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived • MLB_SERIES_OPENER_AWAY_FADE — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=782 / 49.5% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived • MLB_PARK_PITCHER_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=487 / 54.8% WR / healthy

How the Boston Red Sox vs New York Mets pick cashed

Francisco Lindor finished with 0 (RBI) vs line 0.5

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