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7/11/2026

Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers: Andy Pages Over 0.5 RBIs (+140) cashed — MLB AI Pick Recap

Recap of our MLB AI player_prop pick on Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers. The play (Andy Pages Over 0.5 RBIs at +140, 1★ confidence) cashed.

Matchup
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Pick
Andy Pages Over 0.5 RBIs
Odds
+140
Confidence
★☆☆☆☆

Why we made this MLB player_prop pick

Judgment prop — picked by signal angle MLB_NIGHTGAME_OVER. Median retail +140 across 2 books (implied 41.7%); no Pinnacle pair on this exact line (unanchored). PROJ: 51.6% Over — 0.160/PA × 4.5 PA (slot 2) → mean 0.73; vs RHP split used (293 PA); SP Brandon Pfaadt allows +0% vs league; BvP vs Brandon Pfaadt: 1-for-11 career (no anchor to compare). [SIGNALS USED] • TRAVEL_B2B_AWAY_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=1875 / 53.0% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_NIGHTGAME_OVER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=1474 / 51.5% WR / healthy • MLB_SERIES_FINALE_HOME_BACK — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=783 / 52.1% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_SERIES_FINALE_AWAY_FADE — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=783 / 54.1% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_SERIES_GAME3_ROAD_FADE — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=738 / 54.7% WR / healthy / context-derived

How the Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers pick cashed

Andy Pages finished with 1 (RBI) vs line 0.5

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