MLB
loss
7/11/2026

Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles: Gunnar Henderson Under 0.5 RBIs (-185) lost — MLB AI Pick Recap

Recap of our MLB AI player_prop pick on Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles. The play (Gunnar Henderson Under 0.5 RBIs at -185, 4★ confidence) lost.

Matchup
Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles
Pick
Gunnar Henderson Under 0.5 RBIs
Odds
-185
Confidence
★★★★☆

Why we made this MLB player_prop pick

Judgment prop — picked by signal angle MLB_DAYGAME_UNDER. Median retail -185 across 3 books (implied 64.9%); no Pinnacle pair on this exact line (unanchored). PROJ: 69.5% Under — 0.090/PA × 4.0 PA (lineup unposted) → mean 0.36; vs LHP split used (126 PA); SP Noah Cameron allows +4% vs league (no anchor to compare). [SIGNALS USED] • TRAVEL_B2B_AWAY_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=1875 / 53.0% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_NIGHTGAME_OVER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=1474 / 51.5% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_DAYGAME_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=963 / 48.5% WR / toxic_fadeable

How the Kansas City Royals vs Baltimore Orioles pick lost

Gunnar Henderson finished with 1 (RBI) vs line 0.5

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