Philadelphia Phillies at Detroit Tigers: Brandon Marsh Over 0.5 RBIs (+160) lost — MLB AI Pick Recap

Recap of our MLB AI player_prop pick on Philadelphia Phillies at Detroit Tigers. The play (Brandon Marsh Over 0.5 RBIs at +160, 1★ confidence) lost.

Why we made this MLB player_prop pick

Judgment prop — picked by signal angle MLB_NIGHTGAME_OVER. Median retail +160 across 4 books (implied 38.5%); no Pinnacle pair on this exact line (unanchored). PROJ: 42.6% Over — 0.128/PA × 4.3 PA (slot 4) → mean 0.56; vs RHP split used (259 PA); SP Casey Mize allows -4% vs league (no anchor to compare). [SIGNALS USED] • TRAVEL_B2B_AWAY_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=1875 / 53.0% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_NIGHTGAME_OVER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=1474 / 51.5% WR / healthy

How the Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers pick lost

Brandon Marsh finished with 0 (RBI) vs line 0.5