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7/11/2026

Philadelphia Phillies at Detroit Tigers: Hao-Yu Lee Over 0.5 hits (-165) cashed — MLB AI Pick Recap

Recap of our MLB AI player_prop pick on Philadelphia Phillies at Detroit Tigers. The play (Hao-Yu Lee Over 0.5 hits at -165, 4★ confidence) cashed.

Matchup
Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers
Pick
Hao-Yu Lee Over 0.5 hits
Odds
-165
Confidence
★★★★☆

Why we made this MLB player_prop pick

Judgment prop — picked by signal angles MLB_NIGHTGAME_OVER + MLB_PLAYER_PLATOON_EDGE. Median retail -165 across 5 books (implied 62.3%); no Pinnacle pair on this exact line (unanchored). PROJ: 68.0% Over — 0.247/PA × 4.0 PA (slot 7) → mean 0.99; vs LHP split used (69 PA); SP Cristopher Sánchez allows +4% vs league (no anchor to compare). [SIGNALS USED] • TRAVEL_B2B_AWAY_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=1875 / 53.0% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_NIGHTGAME_OVER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=1474 / 51.5% WR / healthy • MLB_PLAYER_PLATOON_EDGE — MLB / NO_CALIBRATION_ROW_YET / n=0 / WR n/a / unproven

How the Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers pick cashed

Hao-Yu Lee finished with 2 (H) vs line 0.5

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