MLB
26 props
Research
July 11, 2026MLB Player Prop Research July 11, 2026: Our Numbers on Nick Gonzales, Ryan O'Hearn, Jordan Walker
26 MLB player props our model priced today, each with its hit probability next to the sportsbook's implied odds. Where the two numbers disagree is where the research gets interesting. These are not betting picks — they're the model's read on the market, published for transparency.
Nick Gonzales — Nick Gonzales Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Odds
-230
Our hit chance
74%
Implied by odds
69.7%
Ryan O'Hearn — Ryan O'Hearn Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Odds
-215
Our hit chance
73%
Implied by odds
68.3%
Jordan Walker — Jordan Walker Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Atlanta Braves @ St. Louis Cardinals
Odds
-230
Our hit chance
70%
Implied by odds
69.7%
Christian Walker — Christian Walker Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers
Odds
-182
Our hit chance
66%
Implied by odds
64.5%
Ivan Herrera — Ivan Herrera Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Atlanta Braves @ St. Louis Cardinals
Odds
-239
Our hit chance
65%
Implied by odds
70.5%
Carson Kelly — Carson Kelly Under 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored
Pending
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
Odds
-130
Our hit chance
65%
Implied by odds
56.5%
Isaac Paredes — Isaac Paredes Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers
Odds
-177
Our hit chance
64%
Implied by odds
63.9%
William Contreras — William Contreras Under 0.5 RBIs 0.5 RBIs
Pending
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Odds
-215
Our hit chance
61%
Implied by odds
68.3%
TJ Friedl — TJ Friedl Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
Odds
-140
Our hit chance
54%
Implied by odds
58.3%
Junior Perez — Junior Perez Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Oakland Athletics @ Chicago White Sox
Odds
-118
Our hit chance
54%
Implied by odds
54.1%
Jake Rogers — Jake Rogers Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers
Odds
-130
Our hit chance
50%
Implied by odds
56.5%
Brett Baty — Brett Baty Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Boston Red Sox @ New York Mets
Odds
+104
Our hit chance
48%
Implied by odds
49%
Luke Raley — Luke Raley Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Seattle Mariners @ Tampa Bay Rays
Odds
-113
Our hit chance
47%
Implied by odds
53.1%
Kody Clemens — Kody Clemens Over 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored
Pending
Los Angeles Angels @ Minnesota Twins
Odds
-110
Our hit chance
45%
Implied by odds
52.4%
Jorge Soler — Jorge Soler Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Los Angeles Angels @ Minnesota Twins
Odds
+120
Our hit chance
45%
Implied by odds
45.5%
Royce Lewis — Royce Lewis Over 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored
Pending
Los Angeles Angels @ Minnesota Twins
Odds
-105
Our hit chance
44%
Implied by odds
51.2%
Victor Caratini — Victor Caratini Over 0.5 RBIs 0.5 RBIs
Pending
Los Angeles Angels @ Minnesota Twins
Odds
+173
Our hit chance
42%
Implied by odds
36.6%
Francisco Lindor — Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Boston Red Sox @ New York Mets
Odds
+175
Our hit chance
40%
Implied by odds
36.4%
Dominic Canzone — Dominic Canzone Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Seattle Mariners @ Tampa Bay Rays
Odds
+125
Our hit chance
40%
Implied by odds
44.4%
Kyle Karros — Kyle Karros Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants
Odds
+143
Our hit chance
39%
Implied by odds
41.2%
Matt Vierling — Matt Vierling Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers
Odds
+185
Our hit chance
37%
Implied by odds
35.1%
TJ Rumfield — TJ Rumfield Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants
Odds
+129
Our hit chance
37%
Implied by odds
43.7%
Brooks Lee — Brooks Lee Over 1.5 hits 1.5 Hits
Pending
Los Angeles Angels @ Minnesota Twins
Odds
+172
Our hit chance
36%
Implied by odds
36.8%
Randy Arozarena — Randy Arozarena Over 0.5 RBIs 0.5 RBIs
Pending
Seattle Mariners @ Tampa Bay Rays
Odds
+215
Our hit chance
35%
Implied by odds
31.7%
Nico Hoerner — Nico Hoerner Over 1.5 hits 1.5 Hits
Pending
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
Odds
+170
Our hit chance
33%
Implied by odds
37%
Brandon Lowe — Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 HR 0.5 Home Runs
Pending
Milwaukee Brewers @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Odds
+380
Our hit chance
25%
Implied by odds
20.8%
What this is (and isn't)
These props are research from the same calibrated engine that runs our board — the model's hit probability vs the market's implied number, graded after games for accuracy. They are not picks and are not part of our tracked betting record. For the actual picks we publish and stand behind, grab today's free pick — or learn how odds convert to probabilities.