MLB Player Prop Research July 18, 2026: How Our Numbers Did on Jesus Luzardo, Jesús Luzardo, Dansby Swanson

Our research board published evidence ratings on 5 MLB player props for July 18, 2026 and the graded outcomes landed on 3/5 hit. This is a model-accuracy check, not a betting record — these props are research output, not picks we bet or track.

Jesus Luzardo — Jesus Luzardo Over 6.5 Ks 6.5 Strikeouts

Hit

New York Mets @ Philadelphia Phillies

Settled price

-143

Evidence rating

69/100

Implied by odds

58.8%

Jesús Luzardo — Jesús Luzardo Over 6.5 Ks 6.5 Strikeouts

Hit

New York Mets @ Philadelphia Phillies

Settled price

-164

Evidence rating

69/100

Implied by odds

62.1%

Dansby Swanson — Dansby Swanson Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits

Missed

Minnesota Twins @ Chicago Cubs

Settled price

+115

Evidence rating

53/100

Implied by odds

46.5%

Alex Bregman — Alex Bregman Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits

Hit

Minnesota Twins @ Chicago Cubs

Settled price

+160

Evidence rating

49/100

Implied by odds

38.5%

Kody Clemens — Kody Clemens Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits

Missed

Minnesota Twins @ Chicago Cubs

Settled price

+140

Evidence rating

48/100

Implied by odds

41.7%

What this is (and isn't)

These props are research outputs from the engine that runs our board. The evidence rating summarizes input strength and agreement; it is not a predicted hit percentage. Results are graded after games for transparency. They are not picks and are not part of our tracked betting record. For the actual picks we publish and stand behind, grab featured-pick availability — or learn how odds convert to probabilities.