MLB
10 props
Research
Model: 5/10 hit
July 19, 2026MLB Player Prop Research July 19, 2026: How Our Numbers Did on Andre Pallante, Jorge Soler, Ryan Johnson
Our model published hit probabilities on 10 MLB player props for July 19, 2026 and the numbers landed on 5/10 hit. This is a model-accuracy check, not a betting record — these props are research output, not picks we bet or track.
Andre Pallante — Andre Pallante Over 3.5 Ks 3.5 Strikeouts
Missed
St. Louis Cardinals @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Odds
+115
Our hit chance
90%
Implied by odds
46.5%
Jorge Soler — Jorge Soler Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Hit
Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels
Odds
+145
Our hit chance
80%
Implied by odds
40.8%
Ryan Johnson — Ryan Johnson Under 4.5 Ks 4.5 Strikeouts
Missed
Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels
Odds
-105
Our hit chance
73%
Implied by odds
51.2%
Casey Mize — Casey Mize Under 2.5 ER 2.5 Earned Runs
Hit
Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels
Odds
-150
Our hit chance
66%
Implied by odds
60%
Eduardo Rodriguez — Eduardo Rodriguez Under 2.5 ER 2.5 Earned Runs
Missed
St. Louis Cardinals @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Odds
-108
Our hit chance
58%
Implied by odds
51.9%
Corbin Carroll — Corbin Carroll Under 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored
Hit
St. Louis Cardinals @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Odds
-120
Our hit chance
58%
Implied by odds
54.5%
Eduardo Rodriguez — Eduardo Rodriguez Under 5.5 H allowed 5.5 Hits Allowed
Missed
St. Louis Cardinals @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Odds
+105
Our hit chance
58%
Implied by odds
48.8%
Ketel Marte — Ketel Marte Under 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored
Missed
St. Louis Cardinals @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Odds
-110
Our hit chance
56%
Implied by odds
52.4%
Ryan Johnson — Ryan Johnson Under 2.5 ER 2.5 Earned Runs
Hit
Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels
Odds
-103
Our hit chance
54%
Implied by odds
50.7%
Ryan Johnson — Ryan Johnson Under 4.5 H allowed 4.5 Hits Allowed
Hit
Detroit Tigers @ Los Angeles Angels
Odds
+118
Our hit chance
51%
Implied by odds
45.9%
What this is (and isn't)
These props are research from the same calibrated engine that runs our board — the model's hit probability vs the market's implied number, graded after games for accuracy. They are not picks and are not part of our tracked betting record. For the actual picks we publish and stand behind, grab today's free pick — or learn how odds convert to probabilities.