MLB
20 props
Research
Model: 7/20 hit
July 20, 2026MLB Player Prop Research July 20, 2026: How Our Numbers Did on Cristopher Sanchez, Jacob Misiorowski, Dylan Cease
Our model published hit probabilities on 20 MLB player props for July 20, 2026 and the numbers landed on 7/20 hit. This is a model-accuracy check, not a betting record — these props are research output, not picks we bet or track.
Cristopher Sanchez — Cristopher Sanchez Under 6.5 Ks 6.5 Strikeouts
Missed
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies
Odds
-143
Our hit chance
86%
Implied by odds
58.8%
Jacob Misiorowski — Jacob Misiorowski Under 8.5 Ks 8.5 Strikeouts
Hit
New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers
Odds
-134
Our hit chance
81%
Implied by odds
57.3%
Dylan Cease — Dylan Cease Under 7.5 Ks 7.5 Strikeouts
Hit
Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays
Odds
-155
Our hit chance
81%
Implied by odds
60.8%
Tanner Bibee — Tanner Bibee Under 4.5 Ks 4.5 Strikeouts
Missed
Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians
Odds
+107
Our hit chance
79%
Implied by odds
48.3%
Tanner Bibee — Tanner Bibee Under 5.5 H allowed 5.5 Hits Allowed
Missed
Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians
Odds
-150
Our hit chance
78%
Implied by odds
60%
Braxton Ashcraft — Braxton Ashcraft Under 6.5 Ks 6.5 Strikeouts
Hit
Pittsburgh Pirates @ New York Yankees
Odds
-117
Our hit chance
76%
Implied by odds
53.9%
Emmet Sheehan — Emmet Sheehan Under 5.5 Ks 5.5 Strikeouts
Missed
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies
Odds
-107
Our hit chance
75%
Implied by odds
51.7%
Nick Martinez — Nick Martinez Under 5.5 H allowed 5.5 Hits Allowed
Missed
Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays
Odds
-101
Our hit chance
73%
Implied by odds
50.2%
Emmet Sheehan — Emmet Sheehan Under 2.5 ER 2.5 Earned Runs
Missed
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies
Odds
-136
Our hit chance
70%
Implied by odds
57.6%
Dylan Cease — Dylan Cease Under 4.5 H allowed 4.5 Hits Allowed
Missed
Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays
Odds
-139
Our hit chance
70%
Implied by odds
58.2%
Freddy Peralta — Freddy Peralta Under 5.5 Ks 5.5 Strikeouts
Missed
New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers
Odds
-148
Our hit chance
69%
Implied by odds
59.7%
Joe Ryan — Joe Ryan Under 6.5 Ks 6.5 Strikeouts
Hit
Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians
Odds
+104
Our hit chance
69%
Implied by odds
49%
Nick Martinez — Nick Martinez Under 2.5 ER 2.5 Earned Runs
Hit
Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays
Odds
-115
Our hit chance
68%
Implied by odds
53.5%
Tanner Bibee — Tanner Bibee Under 2.5 ER 2.5 Earned Runs
Hit
Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians
Odds
-127
Our hit chance
65%
Implied by odds
55.9%
Joe Ryan — Joe Ryan Under 4.5 H allowed 4.5 Hits Allowed
Missed
Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians
Odds
+109
Our hit chance
65%
Implied by odds
47.8%
Freddy Peralta — Freddy Peralta Under 2.5 ER 2.5 Earned Runs
Missed
New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers
Odds
-101
Our hit chance
62%
Implied by odds
50.2%
A.J. Ewing — A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 total bases 0.5 Total Bases
Missed
New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers
Odds
-131
Our hit chance
61%
Implied by odds
56.7%
A.J. Ewing — A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Missed
New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers
Odds
-129
Our hit chance
61%
Implied by odds
56.3%
Joe Ryan — Joe Ryan Under 1.5 ER 1.5 Earned Runs
Missed
Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians
Odds
+133
Our hit chance
53%
Implied by odds
42.9%
Nick Martinez — Nick Martinez Under 2.5 Ks 2.5 Strikeouts
Hit
Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays
Odds
+118
Our hit chance
51%
Implied by odds
45.9%
What this is (and isn't)
These props are research from the same calibrated engine that runs our board — the model's hit probability vs the market's implied number, graded after games for accuracy. They are not picks and are not part of our tracked betting record. For the actual picks we publish and stand behind, grab today's free pick — or learn how odds convert to probabilities.