MLB
7 props
Research
Model: 4/7 hit
July 31, 2026

MLB Player Prop Research July 31, 2026: How Our Numbers Did on Paul Skenes, Hunter Greene, Shota Imanaga

Our research board published evidence ratings on 7 MLB player props for July 31, 2026 and the graded outcomes landed on 4/7 hit. This is a model-accuracy check, not a betting record — these props are research output, not picks we bet or track.

Paul Skenes — Paul Skenes Under 17.5 Outs 17.5 Outs

Hit
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cincinnati Reds
Settled price
+123
Evidence rating
99/100
Implied by odds
44.8%

Hunter Greene — Hunter Greene Under 17.5 Outs 17.5 Outs

Missed
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cincinnati Reds
Settled price
+112
Evidence rating
99/100
Implied by odds
47.2%

Shota Imanaga — Shota Imanaga Under 17.5 Outs 17.5 Outs

Missed
New York Yankees @ Chicago Cubs
Settled price
+130
Evidence rating
90/100
Implied by odds
43.5%

Brandon Marsh — Brandon Marsh Over 1.5 total bases 1.5 Total Bases

Missed
Philadelphia Phillies @ Baltimore Orioles
Settled price
+148
Evidence rating
88/100
Implied by odds
40.3%

Elly De La Cruz — Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits

Hit
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cincinnati Reds
Settled price
-160
Evidence rating
87/100
Implied by odds
61.5%

Hunter Brown — Hunter Brown Under 5.5 Ks 5.5 Strikeouts

Hit
Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros
Settled price
+123
Evidence rating
86/100
Implied by odds
44.8%

Tyler Freeman — Tyler Freeman Under 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored

Hit
Kansas City Royals @ Colorado Rockies
Settled price
-135
Evidence rating
77/100
Implied by odds
57.4%
What this is (and isn't)

These props are research outputs from the engine that runs our board. The evidence rating summarizes input strength and agreement; it is not a predicted hit percentage. Results are graded after games for transparency. They are not picks and are not part of our tracked betting record. For the actual picks we publish and stand behind, grab featured-pick availability — or learn how odds convert to probabilities.

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