MLB Player Prop Research July 31, 2026: Our Numbers on Shota Imanaga, Will Warren, Pedro Ramírez

3 MLB player props our model priced today, each with its hit probability next to the sportsbook's implied odds. Where the two numbers disagree is where the research gets interesting. These are not betting picks — they're the model's read on the market, published for transparency.

Shota Imanaga — Shota Imanaga Under 17.5 Outs 17.5 Outs

Pending

New York Yankees @ Chicago Cubs

Odds

+130

Our hit chance

90%

Implied by odds

43.5%

Will Warren — Will Warren Under 4.5 Ks 4.5 Strikeouts

Pending

New York Yankees @ Chicago Cubs

Odds

+100

Our hit chance

88%

Implied by odds

50%

Pedro Ramírez — Pedro Ramírez Over 0.5 RBIs 0.5 RBIs

Pending

New York Yankees @ Chicago Cubs

Odds

+220

Our hit chance

78%

Implied by odds

31.3%

What this is (and isn't)

These props are research from the same calibrated engine that runs our board — the model's hit probability vs the market's implied number, graded after games for accuracy. They are not picks and are not part of our tracked betting record. For the actual picks we publish and stand behind, grab today's free pick — or learn how odds convert to probabilities.