MLB

13 props

Research

Model: 4/13 hit

July 30, 2026

MLB Player Prop Research July 30, 2026: How Our Numbers Did on Luisangel Acuña, Joe Mack, Jake Irvin

Our research board published evidence ratings on 13 MLB player props for July 30, 2026 and the graded outcomes landed on 4/13 hit. This is a model-accuracy check, not a betting record — these props are research output, not picks we bet or track.

Luisangel Acuña — Luisangel Acuña Over 0.5 total bases 0.5 Total Bases

Missed

New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox

Settled price

+100

Evidence rating

99/100

Implied by odds

50%

Joe Mack — Joe Mack Over 1.5 total bases 1.5 Total Bases

Missed

Miami Marlins @ New York Mets

Settled price

+245

Evidence rating

99/100

Implied by odds

29%

Jake Irvin — Jake Irvin Over 4.5 H allowed 4.5 Hits Allowed

Missed

Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves

Settled price

-103

Evidence rating

99/100

Implied by odds

50.7%

Nolan McLean — Nolan McLean Under 17.5 Outs 17.5 Outs

Missed

Miami Marlins @ New York Mets

Settled price

+150

Evidence rating

99/100

Implied by odds

40%

Grant Holmes — Grant Holmes Under 4.5 Ks 4.5 Strikeouts

Hit

Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves

Settled price

-130

Evidence rating

96/100

Implied by odds

56.5%

Nick Loftin — Nick Loftin Over 1.5 total bases 1.5 Total Bases

Missed

Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins

Settled price

+160

Evidence rating

89/100

Implied by odds

38.5%

Noah Cameron — Noah Cameron Under 4.5 Ks 4.5 Strikeouts

Missed

Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins

Settled price

+117

Evidence rating

88/100

Implied by odds

46.1%

Alex Jackson — Alex Jackson Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits

Missed

Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins

Settled price

-115

Evidence rating

88/100

Implied by odds

53.5%

Ryan Kreidler — Ryan Kreidler Over 1.5 total bases 1.5 Total Bases

Missed

Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins

Settled price

+200

Evidence rating

86/100

Implied by odds

33.3%

Munetaka Murakami — Munetaka Murakami Over 0.5 RBIs 0.5 RBIs

Missed

New York Yankees @ Chicago White Sox

Settled price

+190

Evidence rating

85/100

Implied by odds

34.5%

José Tena — José Tena Over 0.5 total bases 0.5 Total Bases

Hit

Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves

Settled price

-159

Evidence rating

76/100

Implied by odds

61.4%

Dominic Smith — Dominic Smith Over 0.5 total bases 0.5 Total Bases

Hit

Washington Nationals @ Atlanta Braves

Settled price

-180

Evidence rating

75/100

Implied by odds

64.3%

Cole Young — Cole Young Over 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored

Hit

Seattle Mariners @ Los Angeles Dodgers

Settled price

+120

Evidence rating

72/100

Implied by odds

45.5%

What this is (and isn't)

These props are research outputs from the engine that runs our board. The evidence rating summarizes input strength and agreement; it is not a predicted hit percentage. Results are graded after games for transparency. They are not picks and are not part of our tracked betting record. For the actual picks we publish and stand behind, grab featured-pick availability — or learn how odds convert to probabilities.