MLB
1 props
Research
July 29, 2026MLB Player Prop Research July 29, 2026: Our Numbers on Jared Jones
1 MLB player prop our model priced today, each with its hit probability next to the sportsbook's implied odds. Where the two numbers disagree is where the research gets interesting. These are not betting picks — they're the model's read on the market, published for transparency.
Jared Jones — Jared Jones Under 5.5 Ks 5.5 Strikeouts
Pending
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Odds
-139
Our hit chance
99%
Implied by odds
58.2%
What this is (and isn't)
These props are research from the same calibrated engine that runs our board — the model's hit probability vs the market's implied number, graded after games for accuracy. They are not picks and are not part of our tracked betting record. For the actual picks we publish and stand behind, grab today's free pick — or learn how odds convert to probabilities.
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