MLB
13 props
Research
Model: 6/13 hit
July 28, 2026MLB Player Prop Research July 28, 2026: How Our Numbers Did on Michael King, Ty France, Griffin Jax
Our research board published evidence ratings on 13 MLB player props for July 28, 2026 and the graded outcomes landed on 6/13 hit. This is a model-accuracy check, not a betting record — these props are research output, not picks we bet or track.
Michael King — Michael King Under 17.5 Outs 17.5 Outs
Missed
Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres
Settled price
+130
Evidence rating
99/100
Implied by odds
43.5%
Ty France — Ty France Over 1.5 total bases 1.5 Total Bases
Missed
Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres
Settled price
+133
Evidence rating
99/100
Implied by odds
42.9%
Griffin Jax — Griffin Jax Over 5.5 Ks 5.5 Strikeouts
Hit
Texas Rangers @ Tampa Bay Rays
Settled price
+105
Evidence rating
96/100
Implied by odds
48.8%
Chase Burns — Chase Burns Under 6.5 Ks 6.5 Strikeouts
Hit
Cleveland Guardians @ Cincinnati Reds
Settled price
-127
Evidence rating
92/100
Implied by odds
55.9%
Bryce Eldridge — Bryce Eldridge Over 1.5 total bases 1.5 Total Bases
Hit
Milwaukee Brewers @ San Francisco Giants
Settled price
+175
Evidence rating
87/100
Implied by odds
36.4%
Trevor Larnach — Trevor Larnach Over 1.5 total bases 1.5 Total Bases
Missed
Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins
Settled price
+110
Evidence rating
78/100
Implied by odds
47.6%
Hunter Goodman — Hunter Goodman Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Missed
Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres
Settled price
-150
Evidence rating
78/100
Implied by odds
60%
José Ramírez — José Ramírez Under 0.5 RBIs 0.5 RBIs
Hit
Cleveland Guardians @ Cincinnati Reds
Settled price
-155
Evidence rating
77/100
Implied by odds
60.8%
Hunter Feduccia — Hunter Feduccia Over 0.5 total bases 0.5 Total Bases
Missed
Texas Rangers @ Tampa Bay Rays
Settled price
+105
Evidence rating
76/100
Implied by odds
48.8%
Landen Roupp — Landen Roupp Under 5.5 Ks 5.5 Strikeouts
Hit
Milwaukee Brewers @ San Francisco Giants
Settled price
-113
Evidence rating
75/100
Implied by odds
53.1%
Victor Caratini — Victor Caratini Under 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored
Missed
Kansas City Royals @ Minnesota Twins
Settled price
-145
Evidence rating
72/100
Implied by odds
59.2%
Joc Pederson — Joc Pederson Over 0.5 total bases 0.5 Total Bases
Hit
Texas Rangers @ Tampa Bay Rays
Settled price
-160
Evidence rating
72/100
Implied by odds
61.5%
Nicky Lopez — Nicky Lopez Over 0.5 total bases 0.5 Total Bases
Missed
Texas Rangers @ Tampa Bay Rays
Settled price
-145
Evidence rating
70/100
Implied by odds
59.2%
What this is (and isn't)
These props are research outputs from the engine that runs our board. The evidence rating summarizes input strength and agreement; it is not a predicted hit percentage. Results are graded after games for transparency. They are not picks and are not part of our tracked betting record. For the actual picks we publish and stand behind, grab featured-pick availability — or learn how odds convert to probabilities.
More player prop slates
MLB
3/7 graded hits
July 29, 20267 props · Jared Jones, Jared Young, Jung Hoo Lee
MLB
1/3 graded hits
July 27, 20268 props · Chase Burns, Chase DeLauter, Patrick Bailey
MLB
1/1 graded hits
September 13, 20261 props · Logan Webb
MLB
0/1 graded hits
September 2, 20261 props · Joey Cantillo
MLB
1/1 graded hits
August 29, 20261 props · Blake Snell