MLB

8 props

Research

Model: 1/3 hit

July 27, 2026

MLB Player Prop Research July 27, 2026: How Our Numbers Did on Chase Burns, Chase DeLauter, Patrick Bailey

Our research board published evidence ratings on 8 MLB player props for July 27, 2026 and the graded outcomes landed on 1/3 hit. This is a model-accuracy check, not a betting record — these props are research output, not picks we bet or track.

Chase Burns — Chase Burns Under 6.5 Ks 6.5 Strikeouts

Push

Cleveland Guardians @ Cincinnati Reds

Settled price

-137

Evidence rating

98/100

Implied by odds

57.8%

Chase DeLauter — Chase DeLauter Over 1.5 total bases 1.5 Total Bases

Push

Cleveland Guardians @ Cincinnati Reds

Settled price

+122

Evidence rating

79/100

Implied by odds

45%

Patrick Bailey — Patrick Bailey Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits

Push

Cleveland Guardians @ Cincinnati Reds

Settled price

-113

Evidence rating

78/100

Implied by odds

53.1%

George Kirby — George Kirby Over 5.5 Ks 5.5 Strikeouts

Missed

Seattle Mariners @ Texas Rangers

Settled price

+102

Evidence rating

78/100

Implied by odds

49.5%

Petey Halpin — Petey Halpin Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits

Push

Cleveland Guardians @ Cincinnati Reds

Settled price

-114

Evidence rating

76/100

Implied by odds

53.3%

Elly De La Cruz — Elly De La Cruz Over 1.5 total bases 1.5 Total Bases

Push

Cleveland Guardians @ Cincinnati Reds

Settled price

+100

Evidence rating

76/100

Implied by odds

50%

Masyn Winn — Masyn Winn Under 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored

Missed

Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis Cardinals

Settled price

-160

Evidence rating

73/100

Implied by odds

61.5%

Tyler Mahle — Tyler Mahle Under 4.5 Ks 4.5 Strikeouts

Hit

Milwaukee Brewers @ San Francisco Giants

Settled price

-104

Evidence rating

73/100

Implied by odds

51%

What this is (and isn't)

These props are research outputs from the engine that runs our board. The evidence rating summarizes input strength and agreement; it is not a predicted hit percentage. Results are graded after games for transparency. They are not picks and are not part of our tracked betting record. For the actual picks we publish and stand behind, grab featured-pick availability — or learn how odds convert to probabilities.