MLB Player Prop Research July 26, 2026: How Our Numbers Did on Will Warren, Cristopher Sánchez, Ben Rice

Our model published hit probabilities on 4 MLB player props for July 26, 2026 and the numbers landed on 3/4 hit. This is a model-accuracy check, not a betting record — these props are research output, not picks we bet or track.

Will Warren — Will Warren Over 2.5 ER 2.5 Earned Runs

Hit

New York Yankees @ Philadelphia Phillies

Odds

+112

Our hit chance

99%

Implied by odds

47.2%

Cristopher Sánchez — Cristopher Sanchez Under 18.5 Outs 18.5 Outs

Hit

New York Yankees @ Philadelphia Phillies

Odds

+102

Our hit chance

84%

Implied by odds

49.5%

Ben Rice — Ben Rice Over 0.5 runs 0.5 Runs Scored

Hit

New York Yankees @ Philadelphia Phillies

Odds

+140

Our hit chance

83%

Implied by odds

41.7%

Max Schuemann — Max Schuemann Over 0.5 total bases 0.5 Total Bases

Missed

New York Yankees @ Philadelphia Phillies

Odds

-130

Our hit chance

78%

Implied by odds

56.5%

What this is (and isn't)

These props are research from the same calibrated engine that runs our board — the model's hit probability vs the market's implied number, graded after games for accuracy. They are not picks and are not part of our tracked betting record. For the actual picks we publish and stand behind, grab today's free pick — or learn how odds convert to probabilities.