Minnesota Twins @ New York Yankees

Why the AI made this pick

Numbers-first live pick: side locked by best positive market edge before AI narration. EV unavailable; using market-dislocation signals. Best available price +100 @ bovada. Pinnacle fair: Over 9.5 -108 (51.9%) / Under 9.5 +108 (48.1%). EV board: Over 9.5: -4.1% (best -118 @ betrivers) | Under 9.5: -3.9% (best +100 @ fanduel). Sharp/public: SHARP_VS_PUBLIC_TOTAL: Pinnacle 9.5 vs public median 10 on Over (Δ-0.5pt — sharps disagree with public shorter) || SHARP_VS_PUBLIC_TOTAL: Pinnacle 9.5 vs public median 10 on Under (Δ-0.5pt — sharps disagree with public shorter). Market signals: STEAM: 6 books range 0.5pts (median 10) || PRICE_DISPERSION: 225c spread across US books (volatility, not edge). [SIGNALS USED] • MLB_NIGHTGAME_OVER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=4446 / 50.3% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived • MLB_UMP_HITTER_OVER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=3533 / 51.9% WR / healthy • MLB_SERIES_OPENER_HOME_BACK — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=2351 / 51.0% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived • MLB_SERIES_OPENER_AWAY_FADE — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=2351 / 51.0% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived • MLB_BP_RESTED_HOME — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=215 / 49.4% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived • MLB_BP_RESTED_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=180 / 50.8% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived • MLB_UMP_PITCHER_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=16 / 62.5% WR / healthy / context-derived • PUBLIC_TOTAL_SHADE_FADE — MLB / MLB/LIFETIME / n=70 / 52.9% WR / unproven • STEAM_WITH — MLB / MLB/LIFETIME / n=50 / 58.0% WR / unproven • STEAM_STALLED — MLB / MLB/LIFETIME / n=42 / 57.1% WR / unproven • SHARP_VS_PUBLIC_ML_DISAGREE — MLB / MLB/LIFETIME / n=25 / 80.0% WR / healthy • PUBLIC_BIAS_OVER_OVERLOAD — MLB / MLB/LIFETIME / n=15 / 53.3% WR / unproven • +13 more signal tag(s)

Result notes

Final: Minnesota Twins 2 @ New York Yankees 5 · total 7 vs 10

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