Cleveland Guardians at Miami Marlins: Esteury Ruiz Over 0.5 hits (-130) pushed — MLB AI Pick Recap
Recap of our MLB AI player_prop pick on Cleveland Guardians at Miami Marlins. The play (Esteury Ruiz Over 0.5 hits at -130, 3★ confidence) pushed.
Why we made this MLB player_prop pick
Judgment prop — picked by signal angles MLB_NIGHTGAME_OVER + MLB_PLAYER_PLATOON_EDGE. Median retail -130 across 2 books (implied 56.5%); no Pinnacle pair on this exact line (unanchored). PROJ: 61.6% Over — 0.210/PA × 4.0 PA (lineup unposted) → mean 0.85 (no anchor to compare). [SIGNALS USED] • MLB_NIGHTGAME_OVER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=1474 / 53.0% WR / healthy • MLB_SERIES_OPENER_HOME_BACK — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=782 / 49.5% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived • MLB_SERIES_OPENER_AWAY_FADE — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=782 / 49.5% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived • MLB_PARK_PITCHER_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=487 / 54.8% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_PLAYER_PLATOON_EDGE — MLB / NO_CALIBRATION_ROW_YET / n=0 / WR n/a / unproven
How the Cleveland Guardians vs Miami Marlins pick pushed
Esteury Ruiz had no at-bats — no action, voided (push)