Cleveland Guardians at Miami Marlins: Leo Jimenez Under 0.5 hits (+105) lost — MLB AI Pick Recap
Recap of our MLB AI player_prop pick on Cleveland Guardians at Miami Marlins. The play (Leo Jimenez Under 0.5 hits at +105, 1★ confidence) lost.
Why we made this MLB player_prop pick
Judgment prop — picked by signal angle MLB_PARK_PITCHER_UNDER. Median retail +105 across 2 books (implied 48.8%); no Pinnacle pair on this exact line (unanchored). PROJ: 43.4% Under — 0.183/PA × 4.1 PA (slot 6) → mean 0.75; SP Parker Messick allows -8% vs league (no anchor to compare). [SIGNALS USED] • TRAVEL_B2B_AWAY_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=1875 / 53.0% WR / healthy / context-derived • TRAVEL_LONG_TRIP_3PLUS_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=1648 / 51.5% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_NIGHTGAME_OVER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=1474 / 51.5% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_SERIES_OPENER_HOME_BACK — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=782 / 49.5% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived • MLB_SERIES_OPENER_AWAY_FADE — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=782 / 49.5% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived • MLB_PARK_PITCHER_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=487 / 54.8% WR / healthy
How the Cleveland Guardians vs Miami Marlins pick lost
Leo Jimenez finished with 1 (H) vs line 0.5