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7/10/2026

Philadelphia Phillies at Detroit Tigers: Zach McKinstry Under 0.5 hits (+140) cashed — MLB AI Pick Recap

Recap of our MLB AI player_prop pick on Philadelphia Phillies at Detroit Tigers. The play (Zach McKinstry Under 0.5 hits at +140, 1★ confidence) cashed.

Matchup
Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers
Pick
Zach McKinstry Under 0.5 hits
Odds
+140
Confidence
★☆☆☆☆

Why we made this MLB player_prop pick

Judgment prop — picked by signal angle MLB_DAYGAME_UNDER. Median retail +140 across 3 books (implied 41.7%); no Pinnacle pair on this exact line (unanchored). PROJ: 43.3% Under — 0.186/PA × 4.0 PA (lineup unposted) → mean 0.75 (no anchor to compare). [SIGNALS USED] • MLB_NIGHTGAME_OVER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=1474 / 53.0% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_DAYGAME_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=963 / 48.5% WR / toxic_fadeable • MLB_SERIES_OPENER_HOME_BACK — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=782 / 49.5% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived • MLB_SERIES_OPENER_AWAY_FADE — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=782 / 49.5% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived

How the Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers pick cashed

Zach McKinstry finished with 0 (H) vs line 0.5

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