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7/11/2026

Seattle Mariners at Tampa Bay Rays: Cole Young Over 0.5 hits (-150) cashed — MLB AI Pick Recap

Recap of our MLB AI player_prop pick on Seattle Mariners at Tampa Bay Rays. The play (Cole Young Over 0.5 hits at -150, 4★ confidence) cashed.

Matchup
Seattle Mariners @ Tampa Bay Rays
Pick
Cole Young Over 0.5 hits
Odds
-150
Confidence
★★★★☆

Why we made this MLB player_prop pick

Judgment prop — picked by signal angles MLB_PLATOON_BIG_R_AWAY + MLB_PLAYER_PLATOON_EDGE. Median retail -150 across 3 books (implied 60.0%); no Pinnacle pair on this exact line (unanchored). PROJ: 65.8% Over — 0.234/PA × 4.0 PA (slot 7) → mean 0.94; vs RHP split used (264 PA); SP Griffin Jax allows -2% vs league (no anchor to compare). [SIGNALS USED] • TRAVEL_B2B_AWAY_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=1875 / 53.0% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_DAYGAME_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=963 / 48.5% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived • MLB_PARK_PITCHER_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=487 / 54.8% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_TEAM_BIG_VS_RHP_OVER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=243 / 51.5% WR / healthy • MLB_DAY_AFTER_NIGHT_FADE — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=212 / 50.0% WR / toxic_fadeable • MLB_PLATOON_BIG_R_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=114 / 45.6% WR / toxic_fadeable • MLB_PLAYER_PLATOON_EDGE — MLB / NO_CALIBRATION_ROW_YET / n=0 / WR n/a / unproven

How the Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays pick cashed

Cole Young finished with 1 (H) vs line 0.5

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