MLB
18 props
Research
July 12, 2026MLB Player Prop Research July 12, 2026: Our Numbers on Elly De La Cruz, Gabriel Moreno, Spencer Steer
18 MLB player props our model priced today, each with its hit probability next to the sportsbook's implied odds. Where the two numbers disagree is where the research gets interesting. These are not betting picks — they're the model's read on the market, published for transparency.
Elly De La Cruz — Elly De La Cruz Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
Odds
-235
Our hit chance
76%
Implied by odds
70.1%
Gabriel Moreno — Gabriel Moreno Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Odds
-205
Our hit chance
71%
Implied by odds
67.2%
Spencer Steer — Spencer Steer Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
Odds
-190
Our hit chance
71%
Implied by odds
65.5%
Riley Greene — Riley Greene Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers
Odds
-185
Our hit chance
68%
Implied by odds
64.9%
Michael Massey — Michael Massey Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles
Odds
-175
Our hit chance
67%
Implied by odds
63.6%
Nolan Arenado — Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Odds
-152
Our hit chance
61%
Implied by odds
60.3%
Isaac Collins — Isaac Collins Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Kansas City Royals @ Baltimore Orioles
Odds
-150
Our hit chance
61%
Implied by odds
60%
Tim Tawa — Tim Tawa Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Odds
-121
Our hit chance
56%
Implied by odds
54.8%
Matthew Boyd — Matthew Boyd Over 5.5 Ks 5.5 Strikeouts
Pending
Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds
Odds
-130
Our hit chance
56%
Implied by odds
56.5%
Taj Bradley — Taj Bradley Over 6.5 Ks 6.5 Strikeouts
Pending
Los Angeles Angels @ Minnesota Twins
Odds
-113
Our hit chance
54%
Implied by odds
53.1%
Zach McKinstry — Zach McKinstry Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers
Odds
-132
Our hit chance
54%
Implied by odds
56.9%
Kyle Manzardo — Kyle Manzardo Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins
Odds
+120
Our hit chance
45%
Implied by odds
45.5%
Braden Montgomery — Braden Montgomery Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Oakland Athletics @ Chicago White Sox
Odds
+130
Our hit chance
41%
Implied by odds
43.5%
Henry Bolte — Henry Bolte Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Oakland Athletics @ Chicago White Sox
Odds
+125
Our hit chance
40%
Implied by odds
44.4%
Teoscar Hernandez — Teoscar Hernandez Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Odds
+155
Our hit chance
39%
Implied by odds
39.2%
German Marquez — German Marquez Under 2.5 Ks 2.5 Strikeouts
Pending
Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres
Odds
+132
Our hit chance
35%
Implied by odds
43.1%
Javier Sanoja — Javier Sanoja Under 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits
Pending
Cleveland Guardians @ Miami Marlins
Odds
+160
Our hit chance
35%
Implied by odds
38.5%
Shohei Ohtani — Shohei Ohtani Over 1.5 hits 1.5 Hits
Pending
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Odds
+170
Our hit chance
31%
Implied by odds
37%
What this is (and isn't)
These props are research from the same calibrated engine that runs our board — the model's hit probability vs the market's implied number, graded after games for accuracy. They are not picks and are not part of our tracked betting record. For the actual picks we publish and stand behind, grab today's free pick — or learn how odds convert to probabilities.