MLB

7 props

Research

July 22, 2026

MLB Player Prop Research July 22, 2026: Our Numbers on Dean Kremer, James Wood, Landen Roupp

7 MLB player props our model priced today, each with its hit probability next to the sportsbook's implied odds. Where the two numbers disagree is where the research gets interesting. These are not betting picks — they're the model's read on the market, published for transparency.

Dean Kremer — Dean Kremer Under 4.5 Ks 4.5 Strikeouts

Pending

Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox

Odds

+114

Our hit chance

99%

Implied by odds

46.7%

James Wood — James Wood Over 1.5 hits 1.5 Hits

Pending

Washington Nationals @ Colorado Rockies

Odds

+155

Our hit chance

79%

Implied by odds

39.2%

Landen Roupp — Landen Roupp Under 5.5 Ks 5.5 Strikeouts

Pending

San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals

Odds

-160

Our hit chance

79%

Implied by odds

61.5%

Jake McCarthy — Jake McCarthy Over 1.5 hits 1.5 Hits

Pending

Washington Nationals @ Colorado Rockies

Odds

+163

Our hit chance

77%

Implied by odds

38%

Jake Bennett — Jake Bennett Under 4.5 Ks 4.5 Strikeouts

Pending

Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox

Odds

+117

Our hit chance

76%

Implied by odds

46.1%

Cade Cavalli — Cade Cavalli Under 5.5 Ks 5.5 Strikeouts

Pending

Washington Nationals @ Colorado Rockies

Odds

-146

Our hit chance

74%

Implied by odds

59.3%

Luis Arraez — Luis Arraez Over 1.5 hits 1.5 Hits

Pending

San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals

Odds

+135

Our hit chance

70%

Implied by odds

42.6%

What this is (and isn't)

These props are research from the same calibrated engine that runs our board — the model's hit probability vs the market's implied number, graded after games for accuracy. They are not picks and are not part of our tracked betting record. For the actual picks we publish and stand behind, grab today's free pick — or learn how odds convert to probabilities.