MLB

8 props

Research

Model: 4/8 hit

July 22, 2026

MLB Player Prop Research July 22, 2026: How Our Numbers Did on Dean Kremer, Aaron Nola, Bailey Ober

Our research board published evidence ratings on 8 MLB player props for July 22, 2026 and the graded outcomes landed on 4/8 hit. This is a model-accuracy check, not a betting record — these props are research output, not picks we bet or track.

Dean Kremer — Dean Kremer Under 4.5 Ks 4.5 Strikeouts

Missed

Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox

Settled price

+114

Evidence rating

99/100

Implied by odds

46.7%

Aaron Nola — Aaron Nola Under 5.5 Ks 5.5 Strikeouts

Hit

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies

Settled price

-141

Evidence rating

89/100

Implied by odds

58.5%

Bailey Ober — Bailey Ober Under 3.5 Ks 3.5 Strikeouts

Hit

Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians

Settled price

+107

Evidence rating

81/100

Implied by odds

48.3%

Landen Roupp — Landen Roupp Under 5.5 Ks 5.5 Strikeouts

Missed

San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals

Settled price

-160

Evidence rating

79/100

Implied by odds

61.5%

Jake Bennett — Jake Bennett Under 4.5 Ks 4.5 Strikeouts

Hit

Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox

Settled price

+117

Evidence rating

76/100

Implied by odds

46.1%

Slade Cecconi — Slade Cecconi Under 3.5 Ks 3.5 Strikeouts

Missed

Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians

Settled price

+117

Evidence rating

74/100

Implied by odds

46.1%

Petey Halpin — Petey Halpin Over 0.5 hits 0.5 Hits

Hit

Minnesota Twins @ Cleveland Guardians

Settled price

-120

Evidence rating

72/100

Implied by odds

54.5%

Luis Arraez — Luis Arraez Over 1.5 hits 1.5 Hits

Missed

San Francisco Giants @ Kansas City Royals

Settled price

+135

Evidence rating

70/100

Implied by odds

42.6%

What this is (and isn't)

These props are research outputs from the engine that runs our board. The evidence rating summarizes input strength and agreement; it is not a predicted hit percentage. Results are graded after games for transparency. They are not picks and are not part of our tracked betting record. For the actual picks we publish and stand behind, grab featured-pick availability — or learn how odds convert to probabilities.