Miami Marlins @ Pittsburgh Pirates

Why the AI made this pick

Fallback auto-pick from deterministic market signals only. Best price: Miami Marlins -1.5 +164 @ FanDuel | Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 -180 @ Fanatics | Miami Marlins +1.5 -210 @ Bovada | Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 +175 @ Bovada. EV: Miami Marlins +1.5: -3.7% (best -210 @ Bovada) | Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5: -4.4% (best +175 @ Bovada). Sharp/public: SHARP_VS_PUBLIC_SPREAD: Pinnacle 1.5 vs public median -1.5 on Miami Marlins (Δ+3pt — sharps disagree with public longer) || SHARP_VS_PUBLIC_SPREAD: Pinnacle -1.5 vs public median 1.5 on Pittsburgh Pirates (Δ-3pt — sharps disagree with public shorter). Sharp signals: STEAM: 6 books range 3pts (median 1.5) || BOOK_DISAGREEMENT_HIGH: line spread 3pts across US books || PRICE_DISPERSION: 380c spread across US books (volatility, not edge). [SIGNALS FIRED] 3 pattern(s), 2 cluster(s) → deterministic confidence 72 (BASIC, expected ROI 51.1%): • STEAM_WITH — 56.2% WR (n≈520): Market moved with our side — sharp steam signal • SHARP_VS_PUBLIC_LINE_DISAGREE — 57.7% WR (n≈790): Sharp books disagree with the public consensus on the line • RLM_WITH — 57.8% WR (n≈620): Reverse line movement IN FAVOR of pick — sharp money on our side

Result notes

Final: Miami Marlins 2 @ Pittsburgh Pirates 3 · margin -1 vs -1.5

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