Cleveland Guardians at Miami Marlins: Griffin Conine Over 0.5 HR (+425) lost — MLB AI Pick Recap
Recap of our MLB AI player_prop pick on Cleveland Guardians at Miami Marlins. The play (Griffin Conine Over 0.5 HR at +425, 1★ confidence) lost.
Why we made this MLB player_prop pick
Judgment prop — picked by signal angle MLB_PLATOON_POWER_HR. Median retail +425 across 2 books (implied 19.0%); Pinnacle no-vig fair 15.6% (receipt). PROJ: 21.9% Over — 0.059/PA × 4.0 PA (lineup unposted) → mean 0.24; vs RHP split used (73 PA); SP Tanner Bibee allows +25% vs league (+6.3pp vs anchor). [SIGNALS USED] • TRAVEL_B2B_AWAY_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=1875 / 53.0% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_DAYGAME_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=963 / 48.5% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived • MLB_PARK_PITCHER_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=487 / 54.8% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_DAY_AFTER_NIGHT_FADE — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=212 / 50.0% WR / toxic_fadeable • MLB_PLATOON_POWER_HR — MLB / NO_CALIBRATION_ROW_YET / n=0 / WR n/a / unproven
How the Cleveland Guardians vs Miami Marlins pick lost
Griffin Conine finished with 0 (HR) vs line 0.5