Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants: Mickey Moniak Over 0.5 RBIs (+125) lost — MLB AI Pick Recap
Recap of our MLB AI player_prop pick on Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants. The play (Mickey Moniak Over 0.5 RBIs at +125, 2★ confidence) lost.
Why we made this MLB player_prop pick
Judgment prop — picked by signal angle MLB_BP_FATIGUE_HEAVY_HOME. Median retail +125 across 2 books (implied 44.4%); no Pinnacle pair on this exact line (unanchored). PROJ: 55.1% Over — 0.176/PA × 4.5 PA (slot 2) → mean 0.80; vs RHP split used (178 PA); SP Tyler Mahle allows +4% vs league; BvP vs Tyler Mahle: 0-for-5 career (no anchor to compare). [SIGNALS USED] • MLB_BP_FATIGUE_HEAVY_HOME — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=1876 / 48.9% WR / toxic_fadeable • TRAVEL_B2B_AWAY_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=1875 / 53.0% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_DAYGAME_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=963 / 48.5% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived • MLB_SERIES_GAME3_ROAD_FADE — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=738 / 54.7% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_PARK_PITCHER_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=487 / 54.8% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_TEAM_BIG_VS_RHP_OVER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=243 / 51.5% WR / healthy • MLB_DAY_AFTER_NIGHT_FADE — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=212 / 50.0% WR / toxic_fadeable
How the Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants pick lost
Mickey Moniak finished with 0 (RBI) vs line 0.5