Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants: Troy Johnston Over 0.5 hits (-205) lost — MLB AI Pick Recap
Recap of our MLB AI player_prop pick on Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants. The play (Troy Johnston Over 0.5 hits at -205, 5★ confidence) lost.
Why we made this MLB player_prop pick
Judgment prop — picked by signal angle MLB_PLAYER_PLATOON_EDGE. Median retail -205 across 2 books (implied 67.2%); no Pinnacle pair on this exact line (unanchored). PROJ: 78.4% Over — 0.309/PA × 4.1 PA (slot 6) → mean 1.27; vs RHP split used (234 PA); SP Tyler Mahle allows +8% vs league (no anchor to compare). [SIGNALS USED] • TRAVEL_B2B_AWAY_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=1875 / 53.0% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_DAYGAME_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=963 / 48.5% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived • MLB_SERIES_GAME3_ROAD_FADE — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=738 / 54.7% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_PARK_PITCHER_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=487 / 54.8% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_TEAM_BIG_VS_RHP_OVER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y~shrunk(liveN=0/20) / n=243 / 51.5% WR / healthy • MLB_DAY_AFTER_NIGHT_FADE — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=212 / 50.0% WR / toxic_fadeable • MLB_PLAYER_PLATOON_EDGE — MLB / NO_CALIBRATION_ROW_YET / n=0 / WR n/a / unproven
How the Colorado Rockies vs San Francisco Giants pick lost
Troy Johnston finished with 0 (H) vs line 0.5