New York Yankees at Washington Nationals: Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 RBIs (+115) lost — MLB AI Pick Recap
Recap of our MLB AI player_prop pick on New York Yankees at Washington Nationals. The play (Cody Bellinger Over 0.5 RBIs at +115, 1★ confidence) lost.
Why we made this MLB player_prop pick
Judgment prop — picked by signal angles MLB_TEAM_TOTAL_HIGH + MLB_LINEUP_HEART_RBI. Median retail +115 across 2 books (implied 46.5%); no Pinnacle pair on this exact line (unanchored). PROJ: 38.8% Over — 0.116/PA × 4.2 PA (slot 5) → mean 0.49; vs LHP split used (136 PA); SP PJ Poulin allows -4% vs league (no anchor to compare). [SIGNALS USED] • TRAVEL_B2B_AWAY_AWAY — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=1875 / 53.0% WR / healthy / context-derived • MLB_DAYGAME_UNDER — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=963 / 48.5% WR / toxic_fadeable / context-derived • MLB_DAY_AFTER_NIGHT_FADE — MLB / MLB/BACKFILL_3Y / n=212 / 50.0% WR / toxic_fadeable • MLB_TEAM_TOTAL_HIGH — MLB / NO_CALIBRATION_ROW_YET / n=0 / WR n/a / unproven • MLB_LINEUP_HEART_RBI — MLB / NO_CALIBRATION_ROW_YET / n=0 / WR n/a / unproven
How the New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals pick lost
Cody Bellinger finished with 0 (RBI) vs line 0.5